The Kasimpasa vs Alanyaspor prediction for the Super League match on Apr 19 gives Kasimpasa a 52% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Alanyaspor win at 23%. The game kicks off at 11:30 at Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu in İstanbul, and the home side enters as the narrow favorite.
Kasimpasa's recent results show a mixed run: W, L, D, L, W in their last five. They beat Galatasaray 1-0 and this same Alanyaspor side 1-0 at home, but suffered a heavy 4-0 loss at Istanbul Basaksehir. Alanyaspor's form is weaker with L, W, D, L, L. They lost 2-1 at Fatih Karagumruk and 3-0 at Besiktas in the Cup, though they did manage a 3-1 home win over Kayserispor. Kasimpasa comes into this with slightly better momentum, especially at home.
In the overall head-to-head, Kasimpasa holds a slight edge with 14 wins to Alanyaspor's 12, along with 4 draws. The most recent meeting was this exact fixture, which Kasimpasa won 1-0. Before that, Kasimpasa also won the away leg 2-1 at Alanyaspor in November 2025. The trend is clear: Kasimpasa has won the last four encounters, suggesting a psychological advantage in this matchup.
Alanyaspor sits 10th in the Super League with 37 points from 33 matches (7 wins, 16 draws, 10 losses), while Kasimpasa is just outside the listed top 12. Alanyaspor's away record is not shown in the top 8, indicating potential struggles on the road, which could tilt the balance further toward the home team.
Based on the available data, Kasimpasa has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Alanyaspor has a 23% chance. This calculation combines the teams' recent form, with Kasimpasa picking up two wins in their last five compared to Alanyaspor's one; the head-to-head record, where Kasimpasa has four straight wins; and home advantage at Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu. While no bookmaker odds were provided, the statistical evidence points to a clear edge for the home side.
Odds data is not available in the current dataset, so a direct bookmaker comparison isn't possible. However, based on the stats, bookmakers would likely see Kasimpasa as the favorite. The final match prediction is a home win for Kasimpasa, continuing their strong recent head-to-head run and capitalizing on Alanyaspor's inconsistent form.