Aps Bomet FC - Kariobangi Sharks prediction 26 February 2026

Our Kariobangi Sharks vs Aps Bomet FC prediction for the Kenya Premier League match on Feb 26 at 11:00 focuses on a tight contest at Gusii Stadium. Based on recent form, head-to-head record, and league table positions, Aps Bomet FC enters as the slight favorite with a 42% win probability, while Kariobangi Sharks sits at 33% and the draw at 25%.

Team Form

Kariobangi Sharks come into this match with a mixed recent record of W, D, D, W, D in their last five outings. Their most recent result was a dominant 6-0 home win against Sofapaka on May 31. Before that, they drew 1-1 away at Kenya Police FC and 2-2 at home against Kakamega Homeboyz. The Sharks have been tough to beat but have drawn three of their last five, showing a tendency to share points.

Aps Bomet FC, in contrast, are in excellent form with D, W, W, W, W from their last five matches. Their latest result was a 1-1 draw away at Tusker on May 31. Prior to that, they secured three consecutive wins: 2-1 at home against AFC Leopards SC, 2-0 away at Bandari, and 2-0 away at Mathare United. The visitors are clearly the form side heading into this fixture.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two sides is perfectly balanced after two meetings. Each team has one win, with no draws. The most recent clash on Feb 26 saw Kariobangi Sharks win 1-0 away at Aps Bomet FC. However, the earlier encounter on Oct 25, 2025, ended in a 2-1 away victory for Aps Bomet FC at this very venue. With one win apiece and both matches decided by a single goal, history suggests another close battle.

League Table Positions

In the overall Kenya Premier League standings, Aps Bomet FC holds 12th place with 43 points from 33 matches (11 wins, 10 draws, 12 losses). Kariobangi Sharks are not listed in the top 12 of the provided table, indicating they sit lower in the standings. Looking at away form, Aps Bomet FC ranks 7th with 25 points from 16 away games (7 wins, 4 draws, 5 losses), scoring 23 goals and conceding 17 on the road. Kariobangi Sharks do not appear in the top 8 of the home standings table, suggesting their home form has been less impressive this season.

Win Probability: Kariobangi Sharks or Aps Bomet FC?

After analyzing all available data, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Aps Bomet FC has a 42% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Kariobangi Sharks has a 33% chance. This assessment is based primarily on the contrasting recent form — Aps Bomet's four wins in five versus Kariobangi's three draws in five — and the visitors' solid away record. The head-to-head split (1-1) and the lack of odds data to anchor the calculation mean form and league position carry extra weight. Aps Bomet FC is more likely to win, but the match is expected to be competitive.

Odds & Match Prediction

No specific 1X2 odds are available in the provided data for this match. Based on the stats, bookmakers would likely see Aps Bomet FC as the narrow favorite given their superior form and away ranking. Our final Kariobangi Sharks vs Aps Bomet FC prediction leans towards an away win, but the draw is a real possibility given Kariobangi's recent string of stalemates. A low-scoring affair with under 2.5 total goals could also be on the cards, reflecting the tight nature of their previous head-to-head meetings.