Karabukspor - Pazarspor prediction 12 April 2026

Our Karabukspor vs Pazarspor prediction for this 3 Lig match on Apr 12, 2026, gives Karabukspor a 40% win probability, a draw 30%, and Pazarspor 30%. The data points to a tightly contested fixture where the hosts hold a slight edge, but historical meetings and recent form make it far from straightforward.

Team Form

Karabukspor come into this match with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five outings in all competitions. Most recently, they beat Giresunspor 1-0 away on Apr 18, lost to Pazarspor 0-1 at home (this exact fixture on Apr 12), won 3-2 at Fatsa Belediyespor (Apr 5), beat Artvin Hopaspor 3-1 at home (Mar 29), and drew 0-0 at Karadeniz Eregli Belediye Spor (Mar 24). That run shows a side capable of scoring and grinding out results, especially on the road.

Pazarspor’s last five results are one win, two draws, and two defeats. They won 1-0 away at Karabukspor on Apr 12, drew 3-3 at home with Zonguldakspor Komuspor (Apr 5), lost 1-0 at Duzcespor (Mar 29), drew 0-0 at home against Tokat Belediye Plevnespor (Mar 25), and lost 1-0 at Yeni 52 Orduspor (Mar 15). The win against Karabukspor broke a five-match winless streak in the league. Away from home, they have struggled for consistency, with only one win in their last four road trips.

Head-to-Head Record

In three previous meetings between Karabukspor and Pazarspor, the away side has won twice and there has been one draw. Karabukspor are yet to win this matchup. The most recent encounter on Apr 12, 2026, ended 1-0 to Pazarspor. Earlier, on Dec 17, 2025, Pazarspor won 1-0 at home, and on Feb 16, 2025, the teams played out a 0-0 stalemate. Historically, head-to-head results strongly favor the visitors, with Karabukspor scoring zero goals across those three fixtures.

League Table Positions

No league table data is available for this match. However, given the competitive nature of 3 Lig and both teams' recent form, the match is expected to be close with little to separate them in the standings.

Win Probability: Karabukspor or Pazarspor?

Based on the available stats – form, head-to-head, and home advantage – we calculate the following win probabilities: Karabukspor 40%, Draw 30%, Pazarspor 30%. Karabukspor’s home status and slightly better recent overall form (three wins in five, ignoring the head-to-head loss) give them a marginal edge, but the head-to-head record is heavily against them. Pazarspor’s historical dominance in this fixture, including a win in the reverse meeting, cannot be overlooked. The high draw probability reflects the low-scoring nature of past matches (two of three ending with under 1.5 goals). Overall, a Karabukspor win is the most likely single outcome, but uncertainty is high.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds for this match are not available in the data. Without bookmaker prices, our analysis rests on the form and head-to-head numbers. Based on the stats, the most probable result is a narrow Karabukspor victory, but a draw or an away win are equally plausible. For betting tips, the value may lie in backing the draw or considering under 2.5 total goals, given the defensive patterns in this fixture. Always gamble responsibly.