Kaiserslautern - SC Paderborn 07 prediction 28 February 2026

Kaiserslautern vs SC Paderborn 07 prediction: The Bundesliga 2 match on Feb 28, 2026, at 12:00 sees SC Paderborn 07 come in as the favorite with a 45% win probability. Kaiserslautern will look to rely on home advantage, but the visitors have the edge based on recent form, head-to-head dominance, and a higher league position.

Team Form

Kaiserslautern’s last five results show W, W, L, L, L — an inconsistent run. They picked up wins against Magdeburg (0–1 away) and Arminia Bielefeld (2–0 home), but lost to Dynamo Dresden (1–0), Eintracht Braunschweig (0–2), and suffered a heavy 3–0 defeat at Holstein Kiel. The team has struggled to keep momentum, especially defensively.

SC Paderborn 07 posted D, D, W, D, L in their last five outings. The sole win came at SV Darmstadt 98 (0–2), while they drew twice with VfL Wolfsburg in the Bundesliga relegation playoff (1–1 home, 0–0 away) and once against Karlsruher SC (2–2). The only loss was a 5–1 thrashing at SV Elversberg. Paderborn’s form is steadier, with just one defeat in five and strong defensive showings in the draws.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall H2H record strongly favors SC Paderborn 07: 7 wins, 0 draws, and only 2 Kaiserslautern victories. In the most recent meetings (excluding the fixture being predicted), Paderborn won three of the last four: 2–0 at home (Sep 2025), 5–3 (Mar 2025), and 2–1 away (Feb 2024). Kaiserslautern’s lone recent success was a 3–0 home win in October 2024. The trend points to a Paderborn advantage when these teams clash.

League Table Positions

In the final Bundesliga 2 standings, SC Paderborn 07 finished 3rd with 62 points (18 wins, 8 draws, 8 losses; 59 goals scored, 45 conceded). Kaiserslautern placed 6th with 52 points (16 wins, 4 draws, 14 losses; 52 goals for, 47 against). The away table highlights Paderborn as the second‑best travelling side (8 wins, 5 draws, 4 losses, 29 points), while Kaiserslautern’s home form ranked 4th (11 wins, 1 draw, 5 losses, 34 points). Paderborn’s overall quality and away record give them a slight edge despite the home-team factor.

Win Probability: Kaiserslautern or SC Paderborn 07?

We calculate the outcome probabilities as follows:

• Kaiserslautern win: 30%
• Draw: 25%
• SC Paderborn 07 win: 45%

The estimation starts from a typical home/away baseline, adjusted for the head‑to‑head record (Paderborn has won 7 of 9 meetings, including three of the last four), league position (3rd vs 6th), and recent form. Paderborn’s last five yielded only one loss and included clean sheets against Bundesliga opposition. Kaiserslautern’s form shows three defeats in five, with the wins coming against sides below them. Bookmaker odds were not available for this market, but the numbers clearly point to an away win or draw as the most likely outcomes, with Paderborn having the highest individual chance.

Odds & Match Prediction

No 1X2 odds were provided in our data source for this fixture. Based on the stats available, SC Paderborn 07 is the team more likely to win (45% probability). The head‑to‑head record and their strong away performances suggest they should at least avoid defeat. Our match prediction is a Paderborn win, but the safety play could be a double chance on the visitors.