Antequera CF - Juventud Torremolinos prediction 23 May 2026

The Juventud Torremolinos vs Antequera CF prediction for the Primera Federacion match on May 23, 2026, at 16:30 local time points to Antequera CF as the clear favorite. Based on form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, Antequera CF holds a 55% win probability, while Juventud Torremolinos has a 20% chance and the draw stands at 25%. The match takes place at Estadio El Maulí in Antequera, a 7,000-capacity grass-surface venue.

Team Form

Antequera CF comes into this match in excellent shape, having won four of their last five games. Their recent run includes a 3-1 home victory over Juventud Torremolinos on May 23, a 1-0 away win at Sabadell, a 1-0 home success against Teruel, a 0-1 away defeat at Betis Deportivo Balompie, and a 2-1 home win over Eldense. That’s four wins from five, with the only loss coming on the road.

Juventud Torremolinos, on the other hand, have struggled for consistency. Their last five results read: a 1-3 away loss to Antequera CF, a 1-3 home defeat by Real Murcia, a 1-0 away win at Marbella, a 3-1 home win over Atletico Madrid B, and a 0-0 away draw at Tarazona. Two wins, two losses, and a draw highlight their mixed form, and they have conceded six goals in their last two outings.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head between these sides is evenly balanced: 6 wins for Juventud Torremolinos, 6 for Antequera CF, and 3 draws. However, recent history favours Antequera. The last three meetings (excluding the May 23, 2026 fixture) saw Antequera win twice – a 2-0 home win in November 2022 and a 2-0 away win in March 2023 – while Juventud managed a 1-1 home draw in September 2025. The most recent clash, at Estadio El Maulí on May 23, ended in a convincing 3-1 win for the home side.

Win Probability: Juventud Torremolinos or Antequera CF?

After analysing all available data, we assign the following win probabilities for this match:

• Antequera CF win: 55%
• Draw: 25%
• Juventud Torremolinos win: 20%

Antequera’s strong form (four wins in five), the head-to-head edge at home, and the advantage of playing at Estadio El Maulí all contribute to their 55% chance. Juventud Torremolinos’ mixed away form (one win, one draw, one loss in the last three) and defensive issues reduce their chances to just 20%. The 25% draw probability reflects the possibility of a tight contest, given the overall head-to-head balance.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ odds for this fixture are not available in the data provided, but based on the stats, Antequera CF is the justified favourite. Home advantage, superior recent results, and a strong scoring record (eight goals in their last five matches) make them the most likely winners. Juventud Torremolinos will need a significant improvement in defensive organisation to take anything from this game.

Prediction: Antequera CF to win. The most probable outcome is a home victory, with a potential correct score in the region of 2-0 or 2-1, reflecting both the attacking quality of Antequera and the occasional threat posed by Juventud on the counter.