Cerro Largo Reserve - Juventud de las Piedras Reserves prediction 21 July 2026
Cerro Largo ReserveJuventud de las Piedras ReservesLiverpool Montevideo ReservesCerro Largo ReserveCerro Largo ReserveMontevideo Wanderers ReservesLa Luz FC ReservesCerro Largo ReserveCerro Largo ReserveColon FC ReserveCerro Largo ReserveMontevideo City Torque ReservesDeportivo Maldonado ReservesCerro Largo ReserveCerro Largo ReserveClub Oriental de La Paz ReservesNacional Montevideo ReservesCerro Largo ReserveCerro Largo ReserveBoston River ReservesDefensor Sporting ReservesCerro Largo ReserveCerro Largo ReserveAlbion Montevideo ReservesCentral Espanol ReserveCerro Largo ReserveCA Progreso ReservesCerro Largo ReserveCerro Largo ReserveCA Penarol Montevideo ReserversRiver Plate Montevideo ReservesCerro Largo ReserveJuventud de las Piedras ReservesCA Penarol Montevideo ReserversRiver Plate Montevideo ReservesJuventud de las Piedras ReservesJuventud de las Piedras ReservesRacing Montevideo ReservesJuventud de las Piedras ReservesCA Progreso ReservesLiverpool Montevideo ReservesJuventud de las Piedras ReservesJuventud de las Piedras ReservesMontevideo Wanderers ReservesLa Luz FC ReservesJuventud de las Piedras ReservesJuventud de las Piedras ReservesColon FC ReserveMontevideo City Torque ReservesJuventud de las Piedras ReservesJuventud de las Piedras ReservesDeportivo Maldonado ReservesJuventud de las Piedras ReservesClub Oriental de La Paz ReservesJuventud de las Piedras ReservesNacional Montevideo ReservesBoston River ReservesJuventud de las Piedras ReservesDefensor Sporting ReservesJuventud de las Piedras ReservesJuventud de las Piedras ReservesAlbion Montevideo Reserves| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.90 | 2.30 | 2.90 | |
| 2.88 | 2.38 | 3.00 | |
| 2.40 | 3.50 | 2.45 |
Juventud de las Piedras ReservesCerro Largo ReserveJuventud de las Piedras ReservesCerro Largo ReserveCerro Largo Reserve vs Juventud de las Piedras Reserves Prediction (Jul 21)
The Cerro Largo Reserve vs Juventud de las Piedras Reserves prediction points to a tight contest in the Primera Division Reserve League on Jul 21 at 18:00. Based on the odds and recent form, the draw is the most likely outcome at 40%, while Juventud de las Piedras Reserves holds a slight edge to win at 32% over Cerro Largo Reserve's 28%.
Team Form
Cerro Largo Reserve enters this match in poor shape, with four losses and one draw in their last five outings. They suffered a 4-0 defeat at Liverpool Montevideo Reserves, a 2-1 home loss to Montevideo Wanderers Reserves, a 1-0 loss at La Luz FC Reserves, a goalless home draw with Colon FC Reserve, and a 2-1 home defeat to Montevideo City Torque Reserves. They have scored only 2 goals in that span while conceding 9.
Juventud de las Piedras Reserves are also struggling, with three losses and two draws in their last five. They drew 0-0 at home with CA Penarol Montevideo Reservers, lost 5-0 at River Plate Montevideo Reserves, drew 1-1 at home with Racing Montevideo Reserves, lost 1-0 at home to CA Progreso Reserves, and lost 3-1 at Liverpool Montevideo Reserves. Their away form is particularly concerning, with a 5-0 and a 3-1 defeat in their last two road trips.
Head-to-Head Record
The two previous meetings between these sides both took place at Juventud de las Piedras Reserves. The most recent, on Mar 10, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw. The earlier clash on Mar 26, 2019, saw Juventud de las Piedras Reserves win 1-0. Cerro Largo Reserve has yet to beat their opponents, with 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the head-to-head record.
Win Probability: Cerro Largo Reserve or Juventud de las Piedras Reserves?
After normalizing the bookmaker odds to remove the margin, the base probabilities are 30.4% for a home win, 39.2% for a draw, and 30.4% for an away win. Adjusting for recent form and head-to-head data, the draw remains the most probable outcome. Cerro Largo Reserve's home advantage is offset by their terrible run of results, while Juventud de las Piedras Reserves have been slightly less poor and hold a historical edge. The final win probability assessment gives Cerro Largo Reserve a 28% chance, the draw 40%, and Juventud de las Piedras Reserves a 32% chance.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers' 1X2 odds (first listed) are: home win 2.90, draw 2.25, away win 2.90. The low draw price confirms the market's expectation of a stalemate. Based on the stats, a draw is the most likely result, but if a winner emerges, Juventud de las Piedras Reserves has a marginally better chance. The prediction is a low-scoring draw or a narrow away victory.
Cerro Largo Reserve vs Juventud de las Piedras Reserves โ FAQ
- Who will win Cerro Largo Reserve vs Juventud de las Piedras Reserves?
- The most probable outcome is a draw with a 40% chance. Juventud de las Piedras Reserves has a 32% win probability, while Cerro Largo Reserve sits at 28%. The match is expected to be very close.
- What is the win probability for Juventud de las Piedras Reserves?
- Juventud de las Piedras Reserves has a 32% chance to win, slightly higher than Cerro Largo Reserve's 28%. This edge comes from a better recent form trend and a positive head-to-head record (1 win, 1 draw).
- When is the Cerro Largo Reserve vs Juventud de las Piedras Reserves match?
- The match is scheduled for Jul 21, 2026, at 18:00 local time. It is a Primera Division Reserve League fixture in Uruguay.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The first listed 1X2 odds are: Cerro Largo Reserve 2.90, draw 2.25, Juventud de las Piedras Reserves 2.90. The draw is the bookmakers' favorite outcome.