Jagiellonia Bialystok - Korona Kielce prediction 25 July 2026

Poland · EkstraklasaNot started
Full Time Result (1X2)
1
2.26
X
2.46
2
3.72
Match Info
CompetitionEkstraklasa · Poland
Start dateJul 25, 2026
Kick-off12:45
VenueStadion Miejski w Białymstoku, Białystok
Capacity22,432
Surfacegrass
Recent Form
Jagiellonia Bialystok
W
W
W
D
W
Korona Kielce
L
D
D
W
D
Recent matches · Jagiellonia Bialystok
Friendly ClubsJul 17
Jagiellonia Bialystok
FC Nordsjaelland
21
W
Friendly ClubsJul 16
Jagiellonia Bialystok
Sparta Prague
10
W
Friendly ClubsJul 12
Pafos FC
Jagiellonia Bialystok
01
W
Friendly ClubsJul 09
Polissya Zhytomyr
Jagiellonia Bialystok
00
D
Friendly ClubsJul 04
Jagiellonia Bialystok
Pogon Siedlce
41
W
EkstraklasaMay 23
Jagiellonia Bialystok
Zaglebie Lubin
10
W
EkstraklasaMay 17
GKS Katowice
Jagiellonia Bialystok
22
D
EkstraklasaMay 13
Rakow Czestochowa
Jagiellonia Bialystok
02
W
EkstraklasaMay 09
Jagiellonia Bialystok
Pogon Szczecin
32
W
EkstraklasaApr 24
Jagiellonia Bialystok
Gornik Zabrze
12
L
EkstraklasaApr 19
Arka Gdynia
Jagiellonia Bialystok
03
W
EkstraklasaApr 10
Korona Kielce
Jagiellonia Bialystok
11
D
EkstraklasaApr 04
Jagiellonia Bialystok
Lech Poznan
00
D
EkstraklasaMar 21
Jagiellonia Bialystok
Wisla Plock
12
L
EkstraklasaMar 17
Jagiellonia Bialystok
GKS Katowice
21
W
Recent matches · Korona Kielce
Friendly ClubsJul 17
Korona Kielce
Bruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza
02
L
Friendly ClubsJul 14
Korona Kielce
Stal Rzeszow
00
D
Friendly ClubsJul 09
Korona Kielce
Omonia Nicosia
00
D
Friendly ClubsJul 04
Korona Kielce
Zemplin Michalovce
40
W
EkstraklasaMay 23
Cracovia Krakow
Korona Kielce
11
D
EkstraklasaMay 15
Korona Kielce
Widzew Lodz
10
W
EkstraklasaMay 08
Rakow Czestochowa
Korona Kielce
20
L
EkstraklasaMay 01
Korona Kielce
Piast Gliwice
11
D
EkstraklasaApr 25
Korona Kielce
GKS Katowice
11
D
EkstraklasaApr 18
Gornik Zabrze
Korona Kielce
10
L
EkstraklasaApr 10
Korona Kielce
Jagiellonia Bialystok
11
D
EkstraklasaApr 06
Lechia Gdansk
Korona Kielce
42
L
EkstraklasaMar 22
Korona Kielce
Arka Gdynia
30
W
EkstraklasaMar 16
Pogon Szczecin
Korona Kielce
21
L
EkstraklasaMar 07
Korona Kielce
Bruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza
21
W
Odds
Full Time Result
Pre-match odds
Bookmaker1X2
2.002.153.75
1.952.203.60
1.952.204.00
1.902.203.80
1.852.203.75
1.853.553.45
Lineups
Jagiellonia Bialystok1-4-2-3-1
  • 13Bernardo Vitaldefender
  • 9Dimitris Rallisforward
  • 23Guilherme Montóiadefender
  • 11Jesus Imaz Ballestemidfielder
  • 77Kajetan Szmytforward
  • 31Leon Flachmidfielder
  • 15Norbert Wojtuszekmidfielder
  • 21Sergio Lozanomidfielder
  • 50Slawomir Abramowiczgoalkeeper
  • 6Taras Romanczukmidfielder
  • 4Yuki Kobayashidefender
Substitutes
  • 3Dusan Stojinovic
Korona Kielce1-3-4-3
  • 7Dawid Blanikforward
  • 37Hubert Zwoźnydefender
  • 3Konrad Matuszewskidefender
  • 44Konstantinos Sotirioudefender
  • 6Marcel Pieczekdefender
  • 14Mariusz Stepinskiforward
  • 8Martin Remaclemidfielder
  • 10David González Plata Nonoforward
  • 23Slobodan Rubezicdefender
  • 88Tamar Svetlinmidfielder
  • 1Xavier Dziekonskigoalkeeper
Substitutes
  • 18Patrik Hellebrand
Head-to-Head · summary
2
Jagiellonia Bialystok
3
Draws
2
Korona Kielce
Previous meetings
EkstraklasaApr 10
Korona Kielce
Jagiellonia Bialystok
11
EkstraklasaOct 05
Jagiellonia Bialystok
Korona Kielce
31
EkstraklasaApr 27
Korona Kielce
Jagiellonia Bialystok
31
EkstraklasaOct 27
Jagiellonia Bialystok
Korona Kielce
31
CupFeb 28
Jagiellonia Bialystok
Korona Kielce
11
EkstraklasaNov 11
Korona Kielce
Jagiellonia Bialystok
22
EkstraklasaApr 15
Korona Kielce
Jagiellonia Bialystok
21
League Standings
#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Jagiellonia Bialystok00000:000
2Gornik Zabrze00000:000
3Korona Kielce00000:000
4Piast Gliwice00000:000
5GKS Katowice00000:000
6Motor Lublin00000:000
7Slask Wroclaw00000:000
8Wisla Plock00000:000
9Pogon Szczecin00000:000
10Wisla Krakow00000:000
11Legia Warszawa00000:000
12Lech Poznan00000:000
13Zaglebie Lubin00000:000
14Cracovia Krakow00000:000
15Widzew Lodz00000:000
16Radomiak Radom00000:000
17Rakow Czestochowa00000:000
18Wieczysta Krakow00000:000
Champions LeagueEuropeRelegation

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Korona Kielce Prediction (Jul 25)

The Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Korona Kielce prediction for the Ekstraklasa match on Jul 25, 2026, points to a home victory. Based on the latest odds and team form, Jagiellonia Bialystok are the favorites with a 48% win probability.

Team Form

Jagiellonia Bialystok come into this match in excellent shape. Their last five results in all competitions read W, W, W, D, W. They beat FC Nordsjaelland 2-1, Sparta Prague 1-0, Pafos FC 1-0 (away), drew 0-0 with Polissya Zhytomyr, and thrashed Pogon Siedlce 4-1. The attack has been sharp, and the defence has kept three clean sheets in that run.

Korona Kielce's recent form is far less convincing: L, D, D, W, D. A 0-2 loss to Bruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza was followed by goalless draws against Stal Rzeszow and Omonia Nicosia. A 4-0 win over Zemplin Michalovce was the only bright spot, before a 1-1 draw at Cracovia Krakow in the Ekstraklasa. With just one win in five, Korona look vulnerable.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head record is evenly balanced. In the last seven meetings across all competitions, Jagiellonia Bialystok have won 2 at home, Korona Kielce have won 2 away, and there have been 3 draws. The most recent clash, on Apr 10, 2026, ended 1-1 in Kielce. However, when playing at Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku, Jagiellonia have won two of the last three H2H encounters, including a 3-1 victory in October 2025.

League Table Positions

The 2026/27 Ekstraklasa season has not yet started, so both teams sit on 0 points with no league matches played. Jagiellonia Bialystok are listed 1st and Korona Kielce 3rd in the early alphabetical standings, but these positions carry no competitive weight. No league form can be drawn from the table at this stage.

Win Probability: Jagiellonia Bialystok or Korona Kielce?

After removing the bookmaker margin from the average odds (home 1.92, draw 2.19, away 3.86), the baseline probabilities are: Jagiellonia Bialystok win 42.1%, draw 36.9%, Korona Kielce win 21.0%. Adjusting for Jagiellonia's dominant pre-season form (four wins in five) and their strong home H2H record, the win probability rises to 48%. The draw drops to 33%, and Korona's chance falls to 19%. Therefore, Jagiellonia Bialystok has a 48% chance of winning, the draw is at 33%, and Korona Kielce has a 19% chance.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Jagiellonia Bialystok as clear favorites. The best available odds for a home win are around 1.85, with the draw at 2.20 and an away win at 4.33. The average odds across five major bookmakers are 1.92 for a Jagiellonia victory, 2.19 for the draw, and 3.86 for a Korona Kielce win. Based on the stats, the most likely match outcome is a home win. Our Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Korona Kielce prediction is a victory for the hosts.

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Korona Kielce — FAQ

Who will win Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Korona Kielce?
Jagiellonia Bialystok have a 48% chance of winning, the draw is at 33%, and Korona Kielce have a 19% chance. The home side are the favorites thanks to strong pre-season form and a solid head-to-head record at Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku.
What is the win probability for Jagiellonia Bialystok?
Jagiellonia Bialystok have a 48% win probability. This figure is based on average odds of 1.92, adjusted for their excellent recent form (four wins in five matches) and home advantage.
When is the Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Korona Kielce match?
The match is on Jul 25, 2026, at 12:45 UTC. It is an Ekstraklasa fixture, played at Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku in Białystok, Poland.
What are the odds for the match?
The average odds are 1.92 for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win, 2.19 for the draw, and 3.86 for a Korona Kielce win. The best available odds reach 1.85 for the home side and 4.33 for the away win.
Jagiellonia Bialystok – Korona Kielce · match page