Racing Besancon - Ivry prediction 14 February 2026

Ivry vs Racing Besancon prediction for the National 3 clash on Feb 14 at 17:00. Based on the latest form and stats, Ivry are the clear favorites with a 55% win probability, while Racing Besancon hold a 20% chance of an away victory, and a draw is rated at 25%.

Team Form

Ivry come into this match in outstanding shape, having won their last five matches in a row. All five were in National 3, and four of them were at home. They dispatched Belfort (2-1), FC Chalonnais (1-0), Pontarlier (1-0), and Mulhouse (2-0) at home, plus a 3-0 away win at Besancon FC. Across those five wins, Ivry scored 9 goals and conceded just 1, keeping four clean sheets.

Racing Besancon’s form is much more mixed. Their last five results read D, L, W, D, L. The sequence included a 4-4 draw at Torcy, a 0-1 home loss to Evian Thonon Gaillard, a 0-2 away win at Strasbourg II, a 0-0 home stalemate with Jura Dolois Football, and a 2-3 away defeat at Sochaux II. That’s one win, two draws, and two losses, with only 2 goals scored in their last three outings.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met once before, with Racing Besancon winning 3-1. That match took place earlier in the 2025/26 National 3 season. Ivry will be keen to avoid a repeat and can take confidence from their much-improved recent run.

League Table Positions

Neither team appears in the top 12 of the available National 3 standings, so their exact league positions are unknown. However, Ivry’s five-match winning streak suggests they are in a strong position in the division, while Racing Besancon’s inconsistent results point to a lower or mid-table standing.

Win Probability: Ivry or Racing Besancon?

After analysing the form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, we calculate the following match outcome probabilities:

• Ivry win: 55%
• Draw: 25%
• Racing Besancon win: 20%

Ivry’s perfect home record in recent weeks is the biggest factor, giving them a strong edge. Although Racing Besancon won the only previous H2H, that happened away from this venue and against a different Ivry side. The visitors’ recent travel form (W1 D1 L1 in their last three away matches) does not suggest they are ready to stop a team with such momentum.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ odds for this fixture are not available, but all signs point to Ivry as the more likely winner. The home side’s defensive solidity and winning habit make them the team to back. However, a cautious approach is needed, as the sole H2H result shows Racing Besancon can cause problems. Our prediction: Ivry to win, with a draw as the next most probable outcome.