Lagarto SE - Itabaiana SE prediction 31 January 2026
Lagarto SE
Itabaiana SE
CS Alagoano ALLagarto SELagarto SECS Alagoano ALLagarto SEDecisao PETreze PBLagarto SERetro Brasil PELagarto SELagarto SESergipe SESerra Branca PBLagarto SELagarto SESerra Branca PBSergipe SELagarto SELagarto SERetro Brasil PELagarto SETreze PBDecisao PELagarto SENova Iguacu RJLagarto SELagarto SEAmerica Propria SELagarto SESergipe SEItabaiana SEBrusque SCAmazonas AMItabaiana SEItabaiana SEFerroviaria SPAnapolis GOItabaiana SEItabaiana SEItuano SPItabaiana SEVolta Redonda RJInter de Limeira SPItabaiana SEFigueirense SCItabaiana SEItabaiana SEFloresta CEMaringa PRItabaiana SEPiaui PIItabaiana SEItabaiana SEPaysandu PAItabaiana SEBotafogo PBGuarani SPItabaiana SEItabaiana SEYpiranga RSLagarto SEItabaiana SELagarto SEItabaiana SEItabaiana SELagarto SEItabaiana SELagarto SEItabaiana SELagarto SELagarto SEItabaiana SEItabaiana SELagarto SELagarto SEItabaiana SEItabaiana SELagarto SELagarto SEItabaiana SEItabaiana SELagarto SELagarto SEItabaiana SELagarto SEItabaiana SELagarto SEItabaiana SELagarto SEItabaiana SELagarto SEItabaiana SELagarto SEItabaiana SELagarto SEItabaiana SE| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sergipe SE | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | +7 | 20 |
| 2 | Itabaiana SE | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12:4 | +8 | 17 |
| 3 | Lagarto SE | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16:8 | +8 | 16 |
| 4 |  Confianca SE | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10:6 | +4 | 15 |
| 5 |  AA Guarany SE | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 |
| 6 |  America Propria SE | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 |  Falcon SE | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 |  Atletico Gloriense SE | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14:13 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 |  Dorense SE | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:23 | -14 | 7 |
| 10 |  Desportiva Aracaju SE | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5:17 | -12 | 2 |
Itabaiana SE vs Lagarto SE Prediction (Jan 31)
The Campeonato Sergipano clash between Itabaiana SE and Lagarto SE on Jan 31, 2026, at 19:00 is set to be a tight contest. According to our analysis, Itabaiana SE has a 40% chance of winning, with Lagarto SE at 25% and a draw at 35%.
Team Form
Itabaiana SE come into this match with mixed recent results. Their last five outings in Serie C have produced two wins, one draw, and two losses: a 2-0 away win at Amazonas AM, a 1-0 home win over Ferroviaria SP, a 2-0 away defeat to Anapolis GO, a 2-2 home draw with Ituano SP, and a 1-0 home loss to Volta Redonda RJ.
Lagarto SE’s last five matches in Serie D show slightly better consistency. They have registered two wins, two draws, and one loss: a 2-0 away loss to CS Alagoano AL, a 1-1 home draw with CS Alagoano AL, a 1-0 home win against Decisão PE, a 2-1 away win at Treze PB, and a 1-1 draw away to Retro Brasil PE.
Head-to-Head Record
In the overall history of this fixture, Itabaiana SE hold the edge with 8 wins to Lagarto SE’s 6, and 4 matches have finished level. Looking at the most recent meetings before this one, Itabaiana are unbeaten in the last four encounters: a 1-0 away win in February 2025, a 2-2 home draw in March 2024, a 1-0 home win in February 2023, and a 0-0 home draw in March 2022. Lagarto have not beaten Itabaiana in any of those four games.
League Table Positions
The two teams are neck-and-neck in the Campeonato Sergipano standings. Itabaiana SE sit 2nd with 17 points from 9 matches, scoring 12 goals and conceding just 4 – the best defensive record in the division. Lagarto SE are 3rd with 16 points from 9 games, having found the net 16 times but conceding 8. On home soil, Itabaiana have collected 10 points from 5 games (3W, 1D, 1L), while Lagarto’s away record stands at 7 points from 4 trips (2W, 1D, 1L).
Win Probability: Itabaiana SE or Lagarto SE?
Based on form, head-to-head record, league positions, and home advantage, the probability of each outcome is as follows:
- Itabaiana SE win: 40%
- Draw: 35%
- Lagarto SE win: 25%
Itabaiana’s home status and their unbeaten H2H run in recent meetings tilt the percentages in their favour, but their inconsistent recent results and Lagarto’s competitive away form make a draw a very real possibility. Lagarto remain a threat going forward, but Itabaiana’s defensive solidity gives them the edge.
Odds & Match Prediction
No specific odds are available in the data for this fixture, but given the statistics, bookmakers would likely view Itabaiana as the home favourite with shorter draw odds than usual, reflecting the tight recent H2H history. Our match prediction, based on all available stats, is a narrow home win – a 1-0 scoreline is a plausible outcome considering Itabaiana’s mean defence. A low-scoring match and a possible 1X double chance look the safest betting angles.
Itabaiana SE vs Lagarto SE — FAQ
- Who will win Itabaiana SE vs Lagarto SE?
- According to our data analysis, Itabaiana SE have a 40% chance of winning, while Lagarto SE hold a 25% probability. A draw is rated at 35%, making a home win the most likely single outcome.
- What is the win probability for Itabaiana SE?
- Itabaiana SE have a 40% win probability for this match. This figure reflects their home advantage, a strong recent head-to-head record against Lagarto, and the best defensive record in the league.
- When is the Itabaiana SE vs Lagarto SE match?
- The match is scheduled for January 31, 2026, at 19:00 local time. It will be played in the Campeonato Sergipano, the top division in the Brazilian state of Sergipe.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Odds for this fixture are not available in the current data. Based on team form and league positions, bookmakers would typically price Itabaiana SE as the home favourite, with a draw seen as a strong second possibility.
- What is the head-to-head record between Itabaiana SE and Lagarto SE?
- In 18 previous meetings, Itabaiana have won 8, Lagarto 6, and 4 matches ended in a draw. In the last four encounters, Itabaiana are unbeaten with 2 wins and 2 draws, keeping two clean sheets in that run.