Iran - Mali prediction 4 June 2026

Iran vs Mali prediction: The Friendly International match on Jun 04, 2026, at 16:30 sees Iran as the favorite with a 50% win probability. We analyze team form, head-to-head record, and all key stats to answer who will win this clash.

Team Form

Iran come into this match unbeaten in their last two outings. They drew 2-2 at home against New Zealand in the World Cup and secured a 3-1 home win over Gambia in a friendly. Those results show a side capable of scoring and controlling games on home soil.

Mali's recent form is less convincing. In their last four matches, they recorded three draws and one defeat. They drew 0-0 away to Russia, lost 0-1 at home to Senegal, drew 1-1 at home with Tunisia, and drew 0-0 away to Comoros. Mali have scored just once in those four games, highlighting a lack of cutting edge in attack.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no previous head-to-head record between Iran and Mali. This is the first meeting between the two nations, so no historical data can be used to predict the outcome.

Win Probability: Iran or Mali?

Based on the available data, Iran has a 50% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Mali has a 20% chance. The home advantage, Iran's solid recent home form (unbeaten in two, five goals scored), and Mali's struggles in front of goal make the Asian side clear favorites. Mali's winless run of four matches further tilts the probability in Iran's favor.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds are not available in the data for this match. However, based on the stats, Iran are the more likely winners. A home victory is the most probable outcome, with a draw being the second most likely result. Mali would need a significant improvement to cause an upset.