Millonarios Women - EDP Independiente Medellin Women prediction 4 June 2026

The Primera Division Women match between EDP Independiente Medellin Women and Millonarios Women is set for Jun 04, 2026, at 20:30. Our EDP Independiente Medellin Women vs Millonarios Women prediction gives the home side a 40% winning probability. Read on for team form, head-to-head record, and betting tips.

Team Form

EDP Independiente Medellin Women come into this match with mixed recent results. In their last four matches (excluding the fixture itself), they recorded two wins and two losses. Both home wins were convincing: 2-0 against Orsomarso Women and 3-0 against Atletico Bucaramanga Women, with clean sheets on both occasions. However, away from home they suffered defeats to Independiente Santa Fe Women (0-2) and Atletico Nacional Colombia Women (0-1). The alternating pattern of wins and losses hints at inconsistency.

Millonarios Women are unbeaten in their last four outings, with one win and three draws. Their only win in that stretch was a 3-0 away victory at Fortaleza CEIF Women, while they held CD Real Santander Women, America de Cali Women, and Independiente Santa Fe Women to 0-0 stalemates. The defensive solidity is notable—three clean sheets in four games—but the attack has struggled to score in those draws.

Head-to-Head Record

These two sides have met five times in the Primera Division Women, with the head-to-head perfectly balanced: two wins each and one draw. The most recent meeting before this fixture was on Mar 09, 2025, when EDP Independiente Medellin Women won 1-0 at home. Here is the full H2H record:

• Mar 09, 2025: EDP Independiente Medellin Women 1-0 Millonarios Women
• Feb 16, 2024: Millonarios Women 0-0 EDP Independiente Medellin Women
• May 07, 2023: Millonarios Women 3-1 EDP Independiente Medellin Women
• Apr 29, 2022: Millonarios Women 1-2 EDP Independiente Medellin Women

Notably, the last two home fixtures for Medellin Women against this opponent ended in a win and a draw, suggesting they are difficult to beat at home in this matchup.

Win Probability: EDP Independiente Medellin Women or Millonarios Women?

Based on the available data, we calculate the outcome probabilities as follows:

• EDP Independiente Medellin Women win: 40%
• Draw: 35%
• Millonarios Women win: 25%

The home advantage is a key factor—Medellin Women have won their last two home games with clean sheets, and they won the last home H2H meeting. Millonarios Women are hard to beat, drawing three of their last four, but their lack of goals in those draws tilts the balance slightly toward the home side. The draw probability is high because both teams have shown defensive organization in recent matches.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds are not available for this fixture, but the statistical analysis points to a tight contest. EDP Independiente Medellin Women are the slight favorites, yet the high probability of a draw cannot be ignored. Our match prediction: a home win or a draw is the most likely outcome. Bettors should consider the low-scoring nature of recent games—three of Millonarios Women's last four matches ended 0-0, and Medellin Women's last two home wins were 2-0 and 3-0. The under 2.5 goals market could be worth exploring.