| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11:7 | +4 | 16 | |
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15:8 | +7 | 15 | |
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17:9 | +8 | 14 | |
| 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | +7 | 12 | |
| 5 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:8 | +4 | 11 | |
| 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:12 | -6 | 7 | |
| 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:15 | -11 | 4 | |
| 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5:18 | -13 | 0 |
The Campeonato Amapaense match between Independente AP and Cristal AP on February 13, 2026, at 23:00, sees Independente AP as the clear favorite with a 60% win probability. Our Independente AP vs Cristal AP prediction is based on recent form, head-to-head records, and league table positions.
Independente AP have been draw specialists in their last five matches (D, D, D, W, D). Their only win came away at Macapa AP (3-1). The other four results were draws: 2-2 vs Sao Jose AP (away), 2-2 vs Sao Jose AP (home), 0-0 vs Sao Jose AP (home), and 2-2 vs Santos AP (home).
Cristal AP are on a five-match losing streak (L, L, L, L, L). They lost 4-1 to Oratorio AP, 0-2 to Ypiranga AP, 3-1 to Trem Desportivo AP, 2-1 to Sao Jose SP, and 1-2 to Macapa AP. They have conceded at least two goals in each of those defeats.
These two teams have met twice before. Independente AP won once and there was one draw. The most recent meeting, on February 13, 2026, ended in a 3-0 away win for Independente AP. The earlier match on March 29, 2025, finished 2-2 at Independente AP.
In the overall Campeonato Amapaense standings, Independente AP sit 4th with 12 points (3 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss). Cristal AP are bottom (8th) with 0 points, having lost all 7 games.
At home, Independente AP are 5th with 5 points from 4 matches (1W, 2D, 1L). Cristal AP’s away form is even worse: they are 8th in the away table with 0 points from 4 games, scoring 4 and conceding 11.
Our probability model gives Independente AP a 60% chance of winning, the draw a 25% chance, and Cristal AP a 15% chance. These percentages are based on:
The high draw probability reflects Independente AP’s four draws in their last five games. Cristal AP’s chance is low, but upsets can happen in football.
Odds for this match are not available in the provided data. Based on the stats, Independente AP are the expected winners. Our prediction: Independente AP to win, but a draw is a real possibility given their recent record. A bet on Under 2.5 goals could also be worth considering, as Independente AP’s matches often end level with modest scorelines.