| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:6 | +9 | 16 | |
| 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15:3 | +12 | 15 | |
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15:7 | +8 | 13 | |
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:9 | +5 | 13 | |
| 5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 | |
| 6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 5 | |
| 7 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 5 | |
| 8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:26 | -22 | 4 |
Independencia AC vs ADESG AC prediction for the Campeonato Acreano match on Mar 02, 2026, at 23:00. Based on head-to-head record, recent form, and league standings, Independencia AC is the favorite with a 40% win probability. The draw stands at 35%, while ADESG AC has a 25% chance.
Independencia AC's last five matches: D, L, D, W, W. They have two wins, two draws, and one loss in that span, showing mixed but slightly positive momentum. Notable results include a 4-0 away win against Humaita AC and a 3-1 home victory over Galvez AC.
ADESG AC's recent form is weaker: L, L, L, W, D. They have suffered three defeats in their last five outings, with a lone 2-0 away win against Sao Francisco AC and a 1-1 draw with Galvez AC. Their most recent match was a 3-2 loss to Santa Cruz Acre.
In the last five meetings (excluding the fixture itself), Independencia AC has dominated the head-to-head with 2 wins and 3 draws. ADESG AC has never beaten Independencia AC in this period. The most recent encounters were a 0-0 draw in March 2025 and a 1-1 draw in February 2025. The last Independencia victory was a 4-0 away win in March 2023.
In the overall Campeonato Acreano standings, Independencia AC sits 5th with 7 points from 7 matches (2W, 1D, 4L), while ADESG AC is 7th with 5 points (1W, 2D, 4L). Independencia's home record is concerning: they are 7th in the home table with just 1 point from 4 games (0W, 1D, 3L). ADESG AC's away form is slightly better, ranked 6th with 3 points from 3 away matches (1W, 0D, 2L).
We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Independencia AC win – 40%, draw – 35%, ADESG AC win – 25%. This assessment is based on the head-to-head advantage (Independencia unbeaten in 5), slightly better recent form, but tempered by Independencia's poor home record and ADESG's modest away performances. The draw has a relatively high probability given the history of stalemates between these sides.
Bookmakers' odds are not available in the provided data. However, based on the stats, Independencia AC is the more likely winner. The head-to-head record and recent results point to a low-scoring affair, with a draw also a realistic outcome. Our prediction: Independencia AC to win, but with caution due to their home struggles.