Kristiansund - IK Start prediction 25 July 2026

The Kristiansund vs IK Start prediction points to a tight Eliteserien contest on Jul 25, 2026, at 14:00 at Kristiansund Stadion. Based on odds, form, and head-to-head data, Kristiansund enter as slight favourites with a 39% win probability, while a draw is a strong 34% chance.

Team Form

Kristiansund come into this match with one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five outings. Their most recent Eliteserien result was a 0-0 home draw against Sarpsborg 08 on Jul 18. Before that, they lost 3-0 away to Rosenborg. The only victory came in a friendly against Brann (2-1). At home, they have been inconsistent, losing 0-3 to Aalesund in a friendly and drawing 0-0 in the league.

IK Start are also struggling, with four losses in their last five matches. Their sole win was a 2-0 home success over Valerenga. Away from home, they have lost to Brann (1-2), Fredrikstad (1-2), and Rosenborg (0-3), conceding at least two goals in four of those five games.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall H2H record shows IK Start with a slight edge: 5 wins to Kristiansund's 3, with 3 draws. However, recent meetings are more balanced. In the last five encounters, Kristiansund won twice, IK Start once, and one draw. The most recent clash, on Aug 5, 2023, ended 1-1 in the 1. Division. Earlier, IK Start won 4-0 at home in April 2023. In Eliteserien meetings, Kristiansund won 3-2 at home in 2020 and 2-1 away later that year.

League Table Positions

Neither Kristiansund nor IK Start appear in the top 12 of the Eliteserien standings, indicating both are positioned in the lower half of the table. The available data shows Tromso leading with 31 points, while Viking and Bodo/Glimt are close behind. The absence of both teams from the top 12 suggests they are likely battling in the lower reaches.

Win Probability: Kristiansund or IK Start?

Based on average bookmaker odds, recent form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, we calculate the following win probabilities:

• Kristiansund win: 39%
• Draw: 34%
• IK Start win: 27%

The odds imply a tight contest, with the draw being a significant possibility. Kristiansund's home status gives them a slight edge, but their poor recent form tempers that advantage. IK Start's away struggles further reduce their chances. The head-to-head record is fairly even, and both teams are likely to be cautious, increasing the likelihood of a stalemate. Overall, Kristiansund are the more probable winners, but the margin is slim.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced this match closely. The average odds across major bookies are: home win at 2.19, draw at 2.47, and away win at 3.21. This indicates Kristiansund are the favourites, but the low draw odds reflect the expectation of a tight, low-scoring affair. Based on the stats and probabilities, our prediction leans towards a Kristiansund win or a draw. A 1-0 or 1-1 scoreline seems plausible given both teams' recent struggles in front of goal and defensive vulnerabilities.