Bicskei TC - III. Keruleti TUE prediction 15 July 2026

The III. Keruleti TUE vs Bicskei TC prediction for this Friendly Clubs match on Jul 15 at 08:30 UTC points to a home victory. Based on recent form, head-to-head record, and bookmaker odds, III. Keruleti TUE enters as the favorite with a 48% win probability, while Bicskei TC has a 22% chance and the draw sits at 30%.

Team Form

III. Keruleti TUE comes into this fixture in strong shape, winning four of their last five matches. Their most recent outing was a 6-3 away victory against Hodmezovasarhely on May 24. Before that, they secured home wins over Erzsebeti SMTK Budapest (3-1) and Honved II (3-0), plus an away 3-1 win at BKV Elore. The only blemish was a 2-0 loss at Gyulai Termal on Apr 26. Overall, the team has scored 15 goals in those five games, showing attacking power.

Bicskei TC’s form is far less convincing. They have lost four of their last five, including a 3-1 home defeat to Erdi VSE in a friendly on Jul 11. In league play, they suffered away losses to Puskas Academy II (3-1), Komarom (4-3), and a heavy 6-0 defeat at Tatabanya. Their lone win came at home against Balatonfuredi (5-1). Defensive frailties on the road are a major concern.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met six times in recent years, with III. Keruleti TUE winning three, Bicskei TC two, and one draw. The last encounter on Apr 13, 2025, saw Bicskei TC win 3-1 at home. However, when III. Keruleti TUE hosts, they have a strong record: a 3-1 win in August 2023 and a 5-1 victory in May 2021. The only draw came in March 2024 at Bicskei TC (0-0). The H2H numbers suggest a slight edge for the home team.

Win Probability: III. Keruleti TUE or Bicskei TC?

We calculate the win probability using bookmaker odds as a base, then adjust for team form and home advantage. The average odds across three bookmakers imply a normalized 39% home win, 33% draw, and 28% away win. However, III. Keruleti TUE’s excellent recent form (4 wins in 5) and Bicskei TC’s poor away results (4 losses in 5, conceding 16 goals) shift the balance further toward the hosts. Home advantage in this fixture historically favors III. Keruleti TUE as well. Therefore, our adjusted probabilities are:

• III. Keruleti TUE win: 48%
• Draw: 30%
• Bicskei TC win: 22%

III. Keruleti TUE is clearly the more likely winner, but the draw remains a realistic outcome given the odds.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a competitive friendly. The best available odds are: home win at 2.10, draw at 2.40, away win at 3.10. These odds indicate a tight match with the home side as a moderate favorite. Our III. Keruleti TUE vs Bicskei TC prediction is a home win, based on the stats: III. Keruleti TUE’s superior form, strong home H2H record, and Bicskei TC’s defensive struggles on the road. A 2-1 or 3-1 scoreline is plausible, but betting tips should consider the home win market as the most probable outcome.