Throttur Reykjavik/SR U19 - IA/Kari Skallag U19 prediction 22 July 2026

The Throttur Reykjavik/SR U19 vs IA/Kari Skallag U19 prediction for July 22, 2026, points to an away win, but the numbers suggest a tighter contest than the odds imply. The match kicks off at 18:00 in the Icelandic League U19, with IA/Kari Skallag U19 holding a 40% win probability according to our analysis, while Throttur Reykjavik/SR U19 sits at 30% and the draw at 30%.

Team Form

Throttur Reykjavik/SR U19 come into this match with a mixed recent record: two wins and three losses in their last five outings (L, L, W, L, W). Their most recent home game ended in a narrow 3-4 defeat to Breidablik/Augn/Smari U19 on July 14. IA/Kari Skallag U19 are winless in their last five, recording two draws and three losses (D, L, D, L, L). Their last away trip produced a 2-2 draw at KA Akureyri U19 on July 11, but they have conceded heavily in defeats to Selfoss U19 (1-3), Breidablik/Augn/Smari U19 (2-6), and Grotta U19 (4-7).

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors the home side. In three previous meetings, all played at Throttur Reykjavik/SR U19, the hosts have won twice and drawn once, with no away wins for IA/Kari Skallag U19. The most recent clash on July 15, 2025, ended 3-1 to Throttur, while the March 2025 fixture finished 1-1. The only other encounter, in July 2023, was a 2-1 home victory.

League Table Positions

No current league table data is available for these teams, so standings cannot be factored into the prediction.

Win Probability: Throttur Reykjavik/SR U19 or IA/Kari Skallag U19?

We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Throttur Reykjavik/SR U19 30%, draw 30%, IA/Kari Skallag U19 40%. These figures are derived from the bookmaker odds (home 3.25, draw 3.00, away 1.73) after removing the margin, then adjusting for the strong home head-to-head record and IA/Kari’s poor away form. The base implied probabilities gave the away side a 47.4% chance, but the H2H dominance of Throttur at home and IA/Kari’s five-match winless run reduce that edge. The draw also gets a boost, reflecting the two teams’ recent tendency to share points.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see IA/Kari Skallag U19 as the favorite, pricing an away win at 1.73. The home win is available at 3.25, and the draw at 3.00. Based on the stats, the value may lie with the home side or the draw, given Throttur’s unbeaten H2H record at this venue. Our final prediction is a closely fought match, with IA/Kari Skallag U19 slightly more likely to edge it, but a draw is a very realistic outcome.