NK Varazdin - Hradec Kralove prediction 23 July 2026

Hradec Kralove vs NK Varazdin prediction for the UEFA Conference League Qualification match on Jul 23, 2026. Based on recent form and home advantage, Hradec Kralove has a 45% chance to win, while NK Varazdin has a 30% chance, and the draw probability is 25%. This matchup is the first-ever meeting between the two sides, adding an element of unpredictability to the tie.

Team Form

Hradec Kralove come into this match with a mixed but positive recent run, recording three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five outings. They secured a 2-1 friendly win over Sparta Praha B, a 3-1 home victory against Slavia Praha, and a 1-0 win over Slovan Liberec in the 1. Liga. A 2-1 loss at Sparta Prague and a 1-1 draw at Jablonec round out their form. The side has shown resilience at home, winning two of their last three matches on their own turf.

NK Varazdin are in even stronger form, with four wins and one defeat in their last five matches. They defeated Istra 1961 2-0 and Vukovar 91 2-0 away, both in the HNL, and also won friendlies against CSKA 1948 Sofia (1-0) and Voluntari (2-1). Their only recent slip was a 2-1 friendly loss against Lokomotiva Zagreb. The Croatian side has demonstrated a solid attacking output and defensive discipline, particularly on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head history between Hradec Kralove and NK Varazdin. This will be the first competitive encounter between the two clubs, making historical comparisons impossible. With no prior meetings, the outcome will rest solely on current form and tactical execution on the day.

Win Probability: Hradec Kralove or NK Varazdin?

Given the absence of odds and league table data, the win probabilities are estimated from recent form and home advantage. Hradec Kralove’s home edge and three wins in five games give them a slight favoritism. However, NK Varazdin’s four wins in five and their strong away performances make this a tight contest. The probabilities are:

• Hradec Kralove win: 45%
• Draw: 25%
• NK Varazdin win: 30%

These numbers reflect the home side’s marginal advantage, but the draw is a real possibility given the lack of familiarity between the teams. The favorite is Hradec Kralove, but the match could swing either way.

Odds & Match Prediction

Specific odds for this match are not currently available, but the betting market would likely price Hradec Kralove as a moderate favorite. Based on the statistical profile, the most probable outcome is a home win. Bookmakers would see Hradec Kralove as the side with the higher chance of advancing, but the value may lie in the draw market given the closeness of the form. Our prediction leans toward a narrow victory for Hradec Kralove, but a cautious approach is advised.