Houston Dynamo II - San Jose Earthquakes II prediction 23 August 2025

The Houston Dynamo II vs San Jose Earthquakes II prediction for the MLS Next Pro match on Aug 23, 2025, sees Houston Dynamo II as the favorite with a 45% win probability. The game kicks off at 00:00 UTC, and based on the stats, the home side has a slight edge despite recent form concerns.

Team Form

Houston Dynamo II's last five results show a worrying trend: W, W, L, L, L. They started brightly with a 2-1 home win over Saint Louis II on Jul 11, 2026, and a 4-0 thrashing of Minnesota United II on Jul 05, 2026. However, three consecutive away defeats followed — 1-3 at Los Angeles II (Jun 29), 1-2 at Tacoma Defiance (Jun 18), and 1-3 at Ventura County (Jun 07). The dip in away form is a concern, but they remain perfect at home this season.

San Jose Earthquakes II come into this match in better shape: W, W, L, W, D. They recorded a stunning 6-1 home win against Sporting Kansas City II on Jul 08, 2026, and a 3-2 victory at Portland Timbers II on Jun 27. A 2-3 loss at Vancouver Whitecaps II on Jun 18 was followed by a 3-0 home win over Real Maryland Monarchs on Jun 08 and a 2-2 draw at North Texas SC on May 24. With three wins in five, they carry momentum.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors San Jose Earthquakes II. In six meetings, Houston Dynamo II have won just once, with one draw and four San Jose victories. The most recent clash before this fixture was on Oct 20, 2024, when San Jose won 2-1 at home. Earlier encounters include a 4-3 San Jose win on Aug 20, 2023, and a 2-1 away win on Jun 25, 2023. Houston's lone win came in the 2022 season. This history gives the visitors a psychological edge.

League Table Positions

Houston Dynamo II sit 4th in the MLS Next Pro overall standings with 36 points from 15 matches (12 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses). They have been formidable at home, winning all five of their home games this season. San Jose Earthquakes II are 12th with 27 points from 15 games (9 wins, 0 draws, 6 losses). The nine-point gap and Houston's perfect home record underline the home advantage.

Win Probability: Houston Dynamo II or San Jose Earthquakes II?

Based on all available data, the win probabilities are: Houston Dynamo II 45%, draw 25%, San Jose Earthquakes II 30%. Houston's perfect home record and higher league position make them favorites, but San Jose's superior recent form and dominant head-to-head record (4 wins in 6) cannot be ignored. The draw is a realistic outcome given the contrasting styles. Overall, Houston Dynamo II are more likely to win, but it's a close contest.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds are not currently available for this fixture. However, based on the stats, Houston Dynamo II are the predicted winners. Their home strength is the decisive factor, though San Jose Earthquakes II's attacking form suggests both teams could score. A 2-1 home win is a plausible scoreline. For betting tips, backing Houston to win with caution is advised, while the draw offers value given the H2H history.