Union Berlin Women - TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Women prediction 10 May 2026

The TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Women vs Union Berlin Women prediction for this Bundesliga Women match on May 10, 2026, points to a home win. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Women enter the match as favourites, with our probability model giving them a 60% chance of victory, compared to 22% for the draw and 18% for Union Berlin Women.

Team Form

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Women’s last five results show a D, W, D, W, W pattern. They drew 0‑0 with RB Leipzig Women on May 17, beat Union Berlin Women 2‑0 on May 10, drew 1‑1 at Bayern Munich Women on May 6, thrashed FC Köln Women 6‑2 at home on April 27, and won 2‑1 at SC Freiburg Women on March 29. That run includes two clean sheets and only one defeat in their most recent stretch.

Union Berlin Women’s form reads L, L, W, L, D. They lost 4‑2 at FFC Eintracht Frankfurt Women on May 17, were beaten 2‑0 at home by Hoffenheim on May 10, picked up a 1‑0 win at Hamburger SV Women on May 1, lost 3‑2 at home to Bayern Munich Women on April 22, and drew 3‑3 at Wolfsburg Women on March 29. The side has struggled for consistency, managing just one win in that period.

Head-to-Head Record

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Women hold a perfect head‑to‑head record with two wins from the two meetings. The most recent clash, on May 10, 2026, saw Hoffenheim run out 2‑0 winners away from home. The other encounter, on December 7, 2025, ended 3‑0 to Hoffenheim on home soil. Union Berlin Women are yet to score against Hoffenheim in this fixture, with a 5‑0 aggregate goal deficit.

League Table Positions

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Women sit 5th in the Bundesliga Women table with 45 points from 25 matches (14 wins, 3 draws, 8 losses). At home they have collected 20 points from 12 games (6 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses), scoring 25 goals and conceding 17.

Union Berlin Women are 9th on 30 points (8 wins, 6 draws, 11 losses). Away from home they have taken 15 points from 12 matches (4 wins, 3 draws, 5 losses), with 18 goals scored and 25 conceded.

Win Probability: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Women or Union Berlin Women?

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Women have a 60% chance of winning this match, the draw is rated at 22%, and Union Berlin Women’s win probability stands at 18%. This weighting is based on Hoffenheim’s superior league position, a flawless head‑to‑head record (two wins in two, no goals conceded), and the home advantage. Union Berlin’s inconsistent away form and the fact Hoffenheim have already beaten them 2‑0 in the reverse fixture heavily tilt the balance towards a home victory.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ odds for this fixture were not released at the time of analysis. Nonetheless, all statistical indicators point to a TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Women success. Based on the form comparison, H2H dominance, and league standings, our betting tip is TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Women to win. The match outcome is likely to feature over 2.5 goals if Hoffenheim’s recent goal tally is replicated, but without official odds we recommend a straight home win prediction.