Krypnianka Krypno - Hetman Tykocin prediction 27 August 2025

The IV Liga match between Hetman Tykocin and Krypnianka Krypno on August 27, 2025, at 16:00 UTC, sees Hetman Tykocin as the favorite with a 45% win probability. Krypnianka Krypno has a 25% chance to win, while the draw is rated at 30%.

Team Form

Hetman Tykocin enter the match with a mixed recent record: L, L, W, W, W in their last five outings. They suffered a 2-3 home loss to Turosnianka Turosn Koscielna on June 12, 2026, and a 1-4 away defeat to Warmia Grajewo on May 6, 2026. Before that, they secured three consecutive wins — a 4-3 away victory against KS Sniadowo on March 22, 2026, a 6-3 home success over the same opponent on August 24, 2025, and a 2-1 away win at Krypnianka Krypno on May 23, 2025.

Krypnianka Krypno are winless in their last five matches, with a form line of D, D, L, D, L. They drew 3-3 away to Supraslanka Suprasl on May 28, 2026, and 2-2 away to Promien Monki on May 7, 2026. A 0-2 home loss to Warmia Grajewo on April 29, 2026, was followed by a 3-3 away draw at Orzel Kolno on April 12, 2026, and a heavy 1-6 away defeat to KS Sniadowo on October 5, 2025.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met only once in the available data, a match on May 23, 2025, where Hetman Tykocin won 2-1 at Krypnianka Krypno’s ground. That single H2H gives Hetman a psychological edge.

Win Probability: Hetman Tykocin or Krypnianka Krypno?

Based on the available form, head-to-head result, and the home advantage, we calculate the match outcome probabilities as follows: Hetman Tykocin win – 45%, draw – 30%, Krypnianka Krypno win – 25%. Hetman’s stronger H2H record and home status make them the likely winner, but their recent two defeats and Krypnianka’s habit of drawing away games justify a significant chance for the draw and an away upset.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ odds are not available for this fixture. Using the statistical analysis, the prediction is a home win for Hetman Tykocin. The team’s attacking form in the earlier wins and the head-to-head success suggest they can edge a tight contest, but the high draw probability indicates a cautious approach is wise.