Tiverton Town - Havant & Waterlooville prediction 3 March 2026

For the Havant & Waterlooville vs Tiverton Town prediction on Mar 03 in the Southern League Premier Division, Havant & Waterlooville comes in as the clear favorite with a 65% win probability. The match kicks off at 19:45 and all stats point toward a home victory.

Team Form

Havant & Waterlooville's last five matches read L, L, D, W, W — a mixed sequence ending with two straight defeats. At home they have been capable, recently thrashing Gosport Borough 4-0. Tiverton Town's away form, however, is dire: five consecutive losses (L, L, L, L, L), conceding 23 goals in that spell. That includes an 8-0 defeat at Bracknell Town and a 6-0 loss at Wimborne Town, showing critical defensive frailties.

Head-to-Head Record

Historically, Havant & Waterlooville have dominated this fixture. In the five previous meetings, they have won four and drawn one, with Tiverton Town yet to register a single victory. The most recent clash on Feb 21, 2026 ended in a 3-2 home win for Havant. The overall head-to-head advantage is 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses for the home side.

League Table Positions

In the Southern League Premier Division standings (42 matches played), Havant & Waterlooville sit 10th with 58 points (17 wins, 7 draws, 18 losses, goals 78:70). Tiverton Town are nowhere to be found in the top 12, indicating a significantly lower position. The gap in the table further reinforces Havant & Waterlooville's superiority.

Win Probability: Havant & Waterlooville or Tiverton Town?

Based on the available data — team form, head-to-head dominance, home advantage, and league table standings — we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Havant & Waterlooville has a 65% chance of winning, the draw sits at 20%, and Tiverton Town has a 15% chance. The reasoning is clear: Havant own the H2H, have a far better league position, and face a Tiverton side that has lost every recent away match. While Havant's recent form is not flawless, their home strength and Tiverton's dreadful away record make a home win the most likely outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

No specific odds are available for this fixture, but the underlying numbers suggest bookmakers would heavily favour Havant & Waterlooville. Taking into account the H2H sweep, the vast table gap, and Tiverton Town's chronic away defeats, the prediction is a comfortable home win. Havant & Waterlooville are the justified favourites to secure all three points.