Havant & Waterlooville - Sholing prediction 3 January 2026

The Havant & Waterlooville vs Sholing prediction for January 3, 2026, in the Southern League Premier Division points to a home win as the most likely outcome. Based on head-to-head dominance and the home advantage, Havant & Waterlooville has a 45% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an away victory for Sholing at 25%.

Team Form

Havant & Waterlooville's recent matches show a mixed bag: two wins, one draw, and two losses. Their last five results read L, L, D, W, W. At home, they beat Gosport Borough 4–0 but fell 1–3 to Yate Town. Goals have been free-flowing in their fixtures, with both teams scoring in three of those five.

Sholing come into this with the same pattern of results across their last five: W, D, L, L, W. On their travels, they thrashed Dorchester Town 4–0 and narrowly lost 0–1 at Basingstoke Town. Sholing’s away form is inconsistent, and they have kept only one clean sheet in this five-match sequence.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record strongly favours Havant & Waterlooville, who are unbeaten in three meetings (2 wins, 1 draw). The most recent clash, this exact fixture on January 3, 2026, ended 4–3 to the home side. Earlier, they drew 3–3 at Sholing’s ground and won 4–1 at home in March 2025. Across these three games, Havant & Waterlooville scored 11 goals and conceded 7, indicating high-scoring encounters.

League Table Positions

In the overall Southern League Premier Division standings, Sholing sit 6th with 69 points from 42 matches (18 wins, 15 draws, 9 losses). Havant & Waterlooville occupy 10th place with 58 points (17 wins, 7 draws, 18 losses). Sholing have the better away record, ranked 6th on their travels with 30 points from 21 games, while Havant & Waterlooville’s home form is not among the division’s top eight.

Win Probability: Havant & Waterlooville or Sholing?

We calculate the outright match probabilities as follows: Havant & Waterlooville win – 45%, draw – 30%, Sholing win – 25%. This assessment is rooted in the H2H record, where the hosts are unbeaten in three games. Home advantage and a slightly more threatening attack in recent head-to-head meetings tilt the balance, despite Sholing’s superior league position. The draw gets a healthy percentage because both sides have been involved in draws in their recent outings.

Odds & Match Prediction

No bookmaker odds were provided in the data for this fixture. Our match prediction, therefore, relies purely on statistical factors: Havant & Waterlooville’s historical upper hand over Sholing and the fact they will play at home. We anticipate an open game with goals at both ends, but Havant & Waterlooville are the more likely winners according to the available stats.