Haukar Hafnarfjordur - Throttur Vogar prediction 17 July 2026

Haukar Hafnarfjordur vs Throttur Vogar prediction for the Iceland 2nd Division match on May 01, 2026. Based on our win probability analysis, Haukar Hafnarfjordur are the favorites with a 50% chance to win, while Throttur Vogar hold a 25% chance and the draw stands at 25%.

Team Form

Haukar Hafnarfjordur come into this match with a mixed run of results: two wins, two draws and one loss in their last five outings (W-D-W-L-D). Their most recent performance was an emphatic 4-1 home victory over Kari Akranes. At home, they remain strong — scoring 19 goals in 6 league matches and conceding only 7.

Throttur Vogar have struggled, losing four of their last five (L-W-L-L-L). They conceded 15 goals in those five games while scoring 9. Notably, Throttur Vogar have lost all five of their away league fixtures this season, leaving them with the worst away record in the division.

Head-to-Head Record

In 15 overall meetings between these sides, the away team has won 7 times, while the home side has managed only 3 wins, alongside 5 draws. The recent head-to-head tells an even clearer story: Throttur Vogar have won 4 of the last 5 encounters, including a 2-1 home win in the reverse fixture earlier this season. Haukar Hafnarfjordur’s only recent win was a 4-1 home victory back in May 2023.

League Table Positions

Haukar Hafnarfjordur sit top of the 2nd Division with 23 points from 11 games (7 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses), scoring 28 and conceding 14. Their home form is flawless: 5 wins and 1 draw, with 19 goals scored. Throttur Vogar are 12th with just 10 points (3 wins, 1 draw, 7 losses) and a goal difference of -8. Away from home, they have collected zero points this season, conceding an average of over two goals per game.

Win Probability: Haukar Hafnarfjordur or Throttur Vogar?

We calculate the win probabilities for this match as follows: Haukar Hafnarfjordur 50%, draw 25%, Throttur Vogar 25%. This assessment weighs Haukar’s dominant league position and perfect home record against Throttur Vogar’s poor away form, but tempers it with Throttur’s clear historical edge in this fixture — they have won four of the last five meetings. With no odds available, the probability is derived purely from form, H2H, and table data. While Haukar are the more likely winners, the numbers suggest a notable chance of an upset or a stalemate.

Odds & Match Prediction

Betting odds for this fixture are currently not listed by bookmakers. Based on the available stats, Haukar Hafnarfjordur are the expected winners. Taking into account their home goal-scoring record and Throttur’s defensive struggles on the road, a 2-1 victory for the hosts is a realistic outcome. Our match prediction: Haukar Hafnarfjordur to win.