Haugesund - Vard Haugesund prediction 24 January 2026
Haugesund
Vard Haugesund
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The Haugesund vs Vard Haugesund prediction for this Friendly Clubs match on Saturday, January 24, 2026, at 15:00 UTC clearly favours the home side. Haugesund are given an 85% win probability, Vard Haugesund just 5%, and the draw 10%.
Team Form
Haugesund
- Jul 05: Odds BK 1–3 Haugesund (W)
- Jun 27: Haugesund 4–2 Kongsvinger (W)
- Jun 21: Egersund 5–2 Haugesund (L)
- Jun 14: Haugesund 4–1 Ranheim (W)
- May 31: Raufoss 3–4 Haugesund (W)
Haugesund’s last five matches produced four wins, all with at least three goals scored. The only defeat was a heavy 5-2 reverse at Egersund. In the Norwegian 1 Division, Haugesund are scoring freely and look strong at home.
Vard Haugesund
- Jun 28: Varegg 1–1 Vard Haugesund (D)
- Jun 20: Vard Haugesund 0–3 Austevoll (L)
- Jun 01: Vard Haugesund 3–1 Aasane Fotball 2 (W)
- May 22: Vard Haugesund 4–1 Stord (W)
- May 15: Djerv 1919 1–1 Vard Haugesund (D)
Vard Haugesund come from the 3rd Division and have a mixed recent record: two wins, two draws and one loss. They suffered a surprising home defeat against Austevoll and have drawn twice away from home.
Head-to-Head Record
Meetings before this fixture (last four matches):
- Feb 04, 2023: Haugesund 3–0 Vard Haugesund
- Mar 01, 2018: Haugesund 1–2 Vard Haugesund
- May 24, 2017: Vard Haugesund 0–6 Haugesund (Cup)
- Mar 03, 2017: Haugesund 0–0 Vard Haugesund
Haugesund lead the head‑to‑head with 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. They have scored 10 goals in those four encounters, conceding only 2. At home, Haugesund have won two and drawn one, proving very difficult to beat.
Win Probability: Haugesund or Vard Haugesund?
Based on the available data – league levels (1 Division vs 3rd Division), current form, home advantage and head‑to‑head dominance – we calculate the following outcome probabilities:
- Haugesund win: 85%
- Draw: 10%
- Vard Haugesund win: 5%
Haugesund’s firepower and vastly superior division status make them overwhelming favourites. Vard Haugesund would need a near‑perfect performance and plenty of luck to cause an upset. The draw, while possible in a friendly, is given a low 10% chance because Haugesund typically turn close games into wins.
Haugesund vs Vard Haugesund Match Prediction & Odds
At the time of writing, bookmakers have not yet released odds for this Friendly Clubs fixture. When odds become available, expect Haugesund to be extremely short favourites. Our prediction based purely on the stats is a comfortable home win for Haugesund.
Haugesund vs Vard Haugesund — FAQ
- Who will win Haugesund vs Vard Haugesund?
- According to our win probability analysis, Haugesund have an 85% chance of winning, while Vard Haugesund have just a 5% chance. The draw is rated at 10%.
- What is the win probability for Haugesund?
- Haugesund have an 85% win probability. This is based on their higher division (1 Division vs 3rd Division), excellent recent form with four wins in five, and a dominant head‑to‑head record at home.
- When is the Haugesund vs Vard Haugesund match?
- The Friendly Clubs match between Haugesund and Vard Haugesund is on Saturday, January 24, 2026, at 15:00 UTC.
- What are the odds for Haugesund vs Vard Haugesund?
- Bookmakers have not yet released odds for this Friendly Clubs encounter. Given the gulf in class, expect very short odds on a Haugesund win once the markets open.
- What is the head-to-head record between Haugesund and Vard Haugesund?
- In their last four meetings before this match, Haugesund have won twice (3-0 and 6-0), Vard Haugesund won once (2-1), and one match ended 0-0. Haugesund have scored 10 goals and conceded only 2 in those games.