Scherpenzeel - Harkemase Boys prediction 31 January 2026

The Harkemase Boys vs Scherpenzeel prediction for January 31, 2026, in the 3 Derde Divisie sees Harkemase Boys as the slight favorite with a 45% win probability. The match kicks off at 13:30 UTC, and while both teams are neck-and-neck in the league table, the home advantage tips the scales in favor of Harkemase Boys.

Team Form

Harkemase Boys come into this match with a mixed recent record. Their last five results show one win, one draw, and three losses: a 4-1 home win over Sportlust '46, a 4-0 away loss to USV Hercules, a 2-3 home defeat to SV Urk, a 0-0 home draw with HSC '21, and a 2-0 away loss to ADO '20. The most recent victory will give them confidence, but defensive frailties have been evident.

Scherpenzeel's form is similarly patchy. Their last five outings produced one win, one draw, and three defeats: a 4-4 home draw with HSC '21, a 1-0 away loss to ADO '20, a 2-0 away loss to Sparta Nijkerk, a 1-0 away loss to Hoogeveen, and a 4-0 home win over Sportlust '46. The attacking outburst in the draw and the win suggests they can be dangerous, but away form has been a concern.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no recorded head-to-head history between Harkemase Boys and Scherpenzeel in the provided data. This clash will be a fresh encounter with no past meetings to draw conclusions from.

League Table Positions

In the overall 3 Derde Divisie standings, Harkemase Boys sit 9th with 49 points (13 wins, 10 draws, 10 losses), while Scherpenzeel are 10th with 48 points (14 wins, 6 draws, 13 losses). The goal difference is also tight: 52-43 for the hosts and 55-45 for the visitors. At home, Harkemase Boys have earned 24 points from 16 games, while Scherpenzeel have taken 18 points from 17 away matches – a significant disparity that favors the home side.

Win Probability: Harkemase Boys or Scherpenzeel?

Based on the available team form, league positions, and home/away statistics, we calculate the probabilities as follows: Harkemase Boys win – 45%, draw – 30%, Scherpenzeel win – 25%. The home factor is the decisive element: Harkemase Boys average 1.5 points per home game, while Scherpenzeel manage only 1.06 points per away game. Neither team has sparkling recent form, but the slight edge in both table standing and venue gives Harkemase Boys the higher chance. The draw is a realistic outcome given the teams' similarity, but the hosts are more likely to secure all three points.

Odds & Match Prediction

No specific odds are available for this fixture in the data, but based on the stats, bookmakers would likely price Harkemase Boys as marginal favorites. The match prediction is a home win for Harkemase Boys, though a draw cannot be ruled out. The final score could be tight, with both teams having shown they can score and concede. The most probable outcome is a narrow victory for the home side.