Maccabi Ashdod - Hapoel Azor prediction 20 February 2026

The Hapoel Azor vs Maccabi Ashdod prediction for February 20, 2026, points to a closely contested League Alef match in Israel. Based on recent form and head-to-head records, Maccabi Ashdod enters as the slight favorite with a 35% win probability, while Hapoel Azor has a 30% chance and the draw stands at 35%. The match kicks off at 11:30 UTC, and all signs suggest a tight encounter where a single goal could decide the outcome.

Team Form

Hapoel Azor's last five matches show inconsistent results: one win, two draws, and two losses. Their most recent outing was a 2-1 home victory over Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem on February 26, but prior to that they drew 0-0 with Hapoel Herzliya and lost 1-0 away to Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malakhi. The team has struggled to find the net consistently, scoring only three goals in those five games while conceding four.

Maccabi Ashdod's form is slightly steadier, with one win, three draws, and one loss in their last five. They drew 1-1 away to Hapoel Marmorek on February 27 and 3-3 at FC Jerusalem on February 13. Their only defeat in this stretch was a 0-3 home loss to Tzeirey Tira. With five goals scored and eight conceded, they have been more open at the back but also more threatening going forward.

Head-to-Head Record

The historical head-to-head between these sides favors Maccabi Ashdod. In eight previous meetings, Hapoel Azor has won just once, with three draws and four wins for Maccabi Ashdod. The most recent clash on October 17, 2025, ended 1-0 to Maccabi Ashdod at Hapoel Azor's ground. The last time Hapoel Azor beat Maccabi Ashdod was in December 2024 (1-0 at home). The overall goal difference in H2H matches is tight, but the away side has consistently found ways to get results.

League Table Positions

Neither Hapoel Azor nor Maccabi Ashdod appears in the top 12 of the League Alef overall standings, indicating they are positioned in the lower half of the table. Exact points and ranks are not available, but both teams are likely fighting to climb away from the relegation zone. This context adds extra importance to the match, as every point matters in their respective campaigns.

Win Probability: Hapoel Azor or Maccabi Ashdod?

After analyzing all available data, we assign the following win probabilities: Hapoel Azor 30%, draw 35%, Maccabi Ashdod 35%. The draw is a strong possibility given both teams' recent tendency to share points—Hapoel Azor drew two of their last five, Maccabi Ashdod drew three. Maccabi Ashdod's superior head-to-head record (4 wins to 1) and slightly better form give them the edge, but home advantage for Hapoel Azor narrows the gap. The most likely outcome is a low-scoring draw or a narrow away win.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for this fixture are currently unavailable. Without market odds to guide the probabilities, our prediction relies solely on form, H2H, and league context. Based on the stats, Maccabi Ashdod is the more probable winner, but the margin is slim. A draw would not be a surprise. Our final Hapoel Azor vs Maccabi Ashdod prediction is a cautious one: the match is likely to end level or with a one-goal victory for the away side.