Hammam-Sousse - Jendouba Sport prediction 10 January 2026

The Hammam-Sousse vs Jendouba Sport prediction answers the big question ahead of this Tunisia Cup clash on January 10, 2026. Our match analysis gives Jendouba Sport a 35% win probability, while Hammam-Sousse sits at 30% and the draw is 35%. This is a fixture where recent form gives the visitors a slight edge, despite the historical home advantage.

Team Form

Hammam-Sousse enter this match without a win in their last five outings (L, D, D, L, D). The run includes a 2-3 home loss to PS Sakiet Eddayer on May 29, back-to-back 1-1 and 2-2 draws against Club Hammam-Lif and Sfax Railways, and a 1-2 defeat at OC Kerkennah. With only three goals scored in their last three home matches, the attack has lacked a cutting edge.

Jendouba Sport, on the other hand, have been far more dynamic (W, L, W, L, W). They secured a convincing 3-1 win at Kalaa Sport on May 12, beat Bouchamma 2-1 at home on April 22, and thumped CO Sidi Bouzid 3-1 away on April 11. The two defeats in that sequence – 0-1 at EGS Gafsa and 1-2 at Club Sportif Sfaxien (Cup) – were both on the road against strong sides. Overall, Jendouba Sport have won three of their last five, scoring at least two goals in each victory.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head at this venue (Hammam-Sousse home) shows a balanced historical picture. Excluding the match itself, these sides have met four times here, with Hammam-Sousse winning two, Jendouba Sport one, and one draw. The most recent meetings were a 0-0 draw in League 2 (November 2024), a 0-1 away win for Jendouba Sport (October 2023), and a 2-1 home win for Hammam-Sousse (November 2019). So while Hammam-Sousse have the better overall head-to-head at home, the recent trend points to tight, low-scoring affairs.

Win Probability: Hammam-Sousse or Jendouba Sport?

Based purely on the available data – last five form, head-to-head record, and the home/away context – we calculate the outcome probabilities as follows: Hammam-Sousse win 30%, Draw 35%, Jendouba Sport win 35%. The home side’s winless streak and lack of firepower reduce their chances, while Jendouba Sport’s superior recent results and ability to score on the road make them marginal favourites. However, the historic draw tendency (two draws in the last two meetings at this ground) keeps the draw probability high. In summary, Jendouba Sport is the more likely winner, but a stalemate is a very real possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ odds for this Cup match are currently unavailable. Without market data, the prediction relies entirely on form and head-to-head statistics. Our analysis suggests that Jendouba Sport have the slight edge; a Jendouba Sport win or a draw covers the two most likely outcomes. Given the low scoring nature of recent meetings, a 1-1 or a narrow 0-1 away win fits the pattern. For bettors, a “double chance” on Jendouba Sport or a “draw no bet” on the away side could offer value once odds appear. Based on the stats, Jendouba Sport are the team to back, but a bet on the draw should not be ruled out.