Hamilton Academical vs Raith Rovers prediction for the Friendly Clubs match on Jun 27, 2026, at 12:00 UTC. Based on our analysis, Raith Rovers are the slight favorites with a 40% win probability, while Hamilton Academical have a 30% chance and the draw is at 30%.
Hamilton Academical come into this match unbeaten in their last five outings (W, D, W, D, W). They have been solid at both ends, scoring 11 goals in those five games. Recent highlights include a 4-3 home win over Clyde and a 2-1 victory against Forfar Athletic. Their only blemishes were draws, showing resilience.
Raith Rovers have had a mixed run with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five (W, D, W, L, L). They started brightly with a 4-0 friendly win over Edinburgh City and a 3-2 league success against Ross County, but then suffered back-to-back defeats to St Johnstone and Arbroath. Defensive lapses have been a concern.
Raith Rovers have historically dominated this fixture. In 18 previous meetings, Raith have won 12 times, Hamilton have won just twice, and there have been 4 draws. The last five encounters tell a similar story: Raith won four and drew one, including a 5-2 Challenge Cup victory in December 2025. Hamilton have not beaten Raith in any of the last five H2H matches.
This is a Friendly Clubs match, so there are no league table positions to compare. Both teams will use this game to build fitness and test tactics ahead of the new season.
We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Hamilton Academical 30%, Draw 30%, Raith Rovers 40%. Despite Hamilton's unbeaten run, Raith's overwhelming head-to-head superiority gives them the edge. Home advantage keeps Hamilton competitive, but Raith's quality in this matchup makes them narrow favorites. The draw is a strong possibility given Hamilton's recent resilience.
Bookmakers' odds are currently unavailable for this friendly fixture. Based on the stats, our prediction leans towards a Raith Rovers win, but with caution. A 1-1 or 2-1 scoreline in favor of Raith seems plausible. Both teams are likely to score, given their recent friendly results.