Klubi 04 - Haka prediction 17 July 2026

Haka vs Klubi 04 prediction for the Ykkosliiga match on July 17, 2026. Based on our analysis of odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league standings, Haka has a 40% chance of winning, while the draw stands at 30% and Klubi 04 at 30%.

Team Form

Haka come into this match with three wins from their last five outings (W, L, L, W, W). They beat EIF 3-1 at home, lost 2-1 away to Mikkelin Palloilijat, suffered a 0-2 home defeat to KTP, then secured back-to-back 2-0 wins against SJK Akatemia and KTP. At home, Haka have scored 18 goals in 8 matches, though they have conceded 12.

Klubi 04 have managed just one win in their last five (L, W, D, D, L). They lost 0-2 at home to JIPPO, beat SJK Akatemia 2-0, drew 2-2 away at Mikkelin Palloilijat, drew 1-1 at PK-35 Vantaa, and lost 0-1 at home to PK-35 Vantaa. Away from home, Klubi 04 are still winless this season, with four draws and two defeats in six trips.

Head-to-Head Record

Haka have dominated this fixture historically. In 12 previous meetings, Haka have won 7, drawn 5, and lost none. The most recent league clash, on May 18, 2026, ended 1-1. Klubi 04 have never beaten Haka, a trend that weighs heavily in the home side’s favour.

League Table Positions

Haka sit 3rd in the Ykkosliiga with 24 points from 14 matches (7 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses). They have scored 24 goals and conceded 15. Klubi 04 are 9th with only 8 points from 13 games (1 win, 5 draws, 7 losses), scoring 10 and conceding 16. At home, Haka rank 4th (4W, 2D, 2L), while Klubi 04 are 8th in the away table with 0 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses.

Win Probability: Haka or Klubi 04?

We started with the average implied probabilities from the first four bookmakers (home 19%, draw 35.5%, away 45.5%) and then adjusted for form, head-to-head dominance, and league positions. Haka’s unbeaten H2H record, superior league standing, and Klubi 04’s poor away form shift the balance. Our final win probabilities are: Haka 40%, draw 30%, Klubi 04 30%. Haka are the more likely winners, but a draw is a strong possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Klubi 04 as favourites, with away win odds as low as 1.88–2.00. The draw is priced around 2.40–2.50, and a Haka home win at 4.33–4.85. These odds reflect market sentiment, but the underlying stats point to value on Haka. Based on the data, our prediction is a home win for Haka, though a draw cannot be ruled out given Klubi 04’s tendency to share points on the road.