Gyeongju Women - Changnyeong Women prediction 24 July 2026

The Gyeongju Women vs Changnyeong Women prediction points to a home victory when the two sides meet in the K-League Women on July 24, 2026, at 10:00 UTC. Based on head-to-head dominance and recent form, Gyeongju Women enter the match as the clear favorite with a 70% win probability, while Changnyeong Women face an uphill battle.

Team Form

Gyeongju Women have been solid in their last five outings, recording three wins, one draw, and one loss. Their most recent result was a 0-0 home draw against Gumi Sportstoto Sejong Women on July 18. Before that, they secured back-to-back away wins over Suwon Women (2-1) and Seoul City Women (3-1), suffered a 0-1 home loss to Hwacheon KSPO Women, and thrashed Busan-Boeun Sangmu Women 3-0 on the road. That run shows consistency and an ability to score on their travels.

Changnyeong Women, on the other hand, have struggled, managing just one win, one draw, and three defeats in the same period. They did beat Busan-Boeun Sangmu Women 1-0 away on July 18, but that followed a heavy 1-5 loss at Hwacheon KSPO Women, a 1-2 home defeat to Busan-Boeun Sangmu Women, a 0-0 home stalemate with Gumi Sportstoto Sejong Women, and a narrow 2-3 loss at Incheon Hyundai Steel Red Angels Women. Their defense has leaked goals, and they have failed to find consistency.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record is overwhelmingly in favor of Gyeongju Women. Across 16 previous meetings, Gyeongju Women have won 12, drawn 4, and lost none. The last five encounters underline that dominance: a 3-2 away win on May 30, 2026, a 1-1 home draw on April 18, 2026, a 1-1 away draw on September 18, 2025, a 3-0 home win on June 23, 2025, and a 3-1 away victory on May 12, 2025. Changnyeong Women have never beaten Gyeongju Women, and even at home they have managed only two draws in the last three attempts.

Win Probability: Gyeongju Women or Changnyeong Women?

After analyzing all available data, we assign the following outcome probabilities: Gyeongju Women win – 70%, draw – 20%, Changnyeong Women win – 10%. The calculation is based primarily on the lopsided head-to-head record (12-4-0), the current form gap, and the home advantage for Gyeongju Women. Changnyeong Women's only recent win came against a team that Gyeongju Women beat 3-0, further highlighting the gulf in quality. A draw is a realistic possibility given that two of the last five H2H meetings ended level, but a Changnyeong Women victory would be a major upset.

Odds & Match Prediction

No odds are available in the data for this fixture. However, bookmakers would likely price Gyeongju Women as strong favorites, with Changnyeong Women as heavy underdogs. The match prediction is a comfortable win for Gyeongju Women, possibly with a clean sheet, given their defensive solidity in recent weeks and Changnyeong Women's scoring struggles. Based on the stats, a 2-0 or 3-0 home victory is the most probable outcome.