IFK Lidingo FK - Gute prediction 16 May 2026

The Gute vs IFK Lidingo FK prediction for May 16, 2026, in Sweden's Division 2 points to an away win, with IFK Lidingo FK having a 40% probability of victory. The match kicks off at 14:00, and based on recent form and head-to-head records, the visitors are slight favorites despite Gute's home advantage.

Team Form

Gute come into this match in poor shape, with four losses and one draw in their last five outings (L, L, L, D, L). Their most recent result was a 2-1 defeat away to Täby FK on June 27. Before that, they lost 5-2 at Bollstanas SK in the Cup, fell 1-0 at home to Falu, drew 1-1 at Kungsangens IF, and suffered a heavy 5-0 loss at Sunnersta AIF. Defensive frailties are evident, conceding 13 goals in those five matches.

IFK Lidingo FK's form is slightly better but still winless in five, with three draws and two losses (L, D, L, D, D). They lost 2-0 away to Falu on June 27, drew 1-1 at home with Kungsangens IF, lost 3-1 at home to Täby FK, drew 2-2 at Viggbyholms IK, and drew 1-1 at home to Falu. The away side has been more resilient, picking up points in three of their last five, but they have only scored four goals in that span.

Head-to-Head Record

Historically, the home team has dominated this fixture, winning 8 of the 12 meetings, with 1 draw and 3 away wins. However, recent encounters tell a different story. In the last four completed matches (excluding this fixture), IFK Lidingo FK have won three times: 5-2 in June 2021, 2-1 at Gute in September 2019, and 2-1 at Gute in September 2018. Gute's sole win in that period was a 2-1 away victory in May 2019. The trend suggests IFK Lidingo FK have had the upper hand lately, especially when playing away to Gute.

Win Probability: Gute or IFK Lidingo FK?

Based on the available data—team form, head-to-head record, and the home/away factor—we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:

• Gute win: 25%
• Draw: 35%
• IFK Lidingo FK win: 40%

Gute's terrible recent form (one point from five games) and defensive issues outweigh their historical home advantage in this fixture. IFK Lidingo FK, while not winning, have shown greater stability with three draws in five, and their recent head-to-head dominance at Gute's ground gives them the edge. The draw also holds a significant chance, as both teams struggle to convert performances into wins.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for this match are not currently available. Without market prices, our prediction relies solely on statistical analysis. The numbers point to IFK Lidingo FK as the most likely winner, but with a low margin. A draw is a very realistic outcome. For betting tips, the value may lie in the double chance (IFK Lidingo FK or Draw) if odds become available. Based on the stats, the final prediction is a narrow away win or a stalemate.