The Gulistan vs BuxDU Buxoro prediction for May 22, 2026, in the Uzbekistan Cup points to a home win. Gulistan enters the match as the clear favorite with a 55% win probability, while the draw stands at 25% and an away victory for BuxDU Buxoro at 20%. This forecast is built on recent form, head-to-head data, and the home advantage.
Gulistan are in excellent shape with four wins from their last five matches. Their recent results read W, W, W, L, W, including a 4-1 Cup victory over FK Buxoro and a 1-0 win against this same BuxDU Buxoro side. The only defeat in that run was a 6-1 loss at Neftchi, but overall the team has been strong, especially at home.
BuxDU Buxoro come into the game with two wins and three losses in their last five outings. Their form sequence is W, W, L, L, L. The two wins were both at home (2-0 vs PFC Terdu and 2-1 vs Turan Yaypan), but the three defeats were heavy, conceding 10 goals in those three matches. On the road they have struggled, which will be a concern against a confident Gulistan side.
The only previous meeting between Gulistan and BuxDU Buxoro took place on May 22, 2026, in the Cup. Gulistan won that match 1-0 at home. This gives them a perfect head-to-head record: 1 win, 0 draws, 0 losses. The history, though limited, clearly favors the home team.
League table data is not available in the provided information, but the form guide and head-to-head give a reliable picture of the teams' relative strengths.
Based on all available data, the win probabilities are:
Gulistan win: 55%
Draw: 25%
BuxDU Buxoro win: 20%
Gulistanโs strong form (four wins in five), home advantage, and the positive head-to-head result all point to a high likelihood of a home victory. BuxDU Buxoroโs recent away losses and defensive frailties make an upset unlikely, though the draw remains a realistic possibility if the visitors can tighten up at the back.
Odds for this match are not currently available in the data. However, bookmakers would likely price Gulistan as favorites given their superior form and the head-to-head result. Our prediction aligns with the stats: a home win for Gulistan is the most probable outcome. The expected scoreline could be another narrow victory, possibly 1-0 or 2-0, reflecting the tight nature of the previous encounter.