Deportivo Madryn - Godoy Cruz prediction 21 July 2026

Our Deportivo Madryn vs Godoy Cruz prediction for the Primera Nacional match on Jul 21, 2026, at 22:00 gives Deportivo Madryn a 32% chance of winning, a 48% chance of a draw, and Godoy Cruz a 20% chance. Bookmakers also see the draw as the most likely outcome, pricing it at just 1.85. The match is a clash between two sides outside the league’s top 12, but the stats point firmly towards a stalemate.

Team Form

Deportivo Madryn’s last five outings have produced one win, three draws and one defeat. They drew 2–2 at Deportivo Moron, lost 1–2 at home to Colon de Santa Fe, beat Los Andes 2–1 at home, drew 2–2 at home against CA San Miguel and drew 0–0 away at San Telmo. That pattern of draws – particularly at home – underlines their difficulty in turning tight games into wins.

Godoy Cruz’s recent results look mixed on paper: two wins and three losses in the last five. However, both victories were at home, while all three defeats came on the road. Away from home they fell 1–3 at Ciudad de Bolivar, 0–1 at CA Central Norte and 0–1 at Almirante Brown, failing to score in the last two of those away losses. Their away form is a serious concern ahead of this trip.

Head-to-Head Record

The only head-to-head meeting between these teams was a Primera Nacional fixture on Mar 01, 2026. That match, hosted by Godoy Cruz, ended 0–0. So far neither side has a win in this fixture, with a single draw on the books.

League Table Positions

Neither team appears in the top 12 of the overall Primera Nacional standings. Ferro Carril Oeste leads the table with 43 points from 21 matches. Godoy Cruz can take some comfort from their strong home record – they are 5th in the home table with 22 points from 10 matches (six wins, four draws, zero defeats) – but that form has not traveled. Deportivo Madryn’s home record is not among the top eight, meaning they rank lower than 8th in that category. The absence of either side from the top positions reinforces the sense of a closely matched contest.

Win Probability: Deportivo Madryn or Godoy Cruz?

After normalising the pre‑match odds to remove the bookmaker margin and adjusting for team form, H2H and the home/away factor, we calculate the win probability as follows:

• Deportivo Madryn win: 32%
• Draw: 48%
• Godoy Cruz win: 20%

The draw is the clear favourite. The raw odds implied a draw probability of over 46%, and Deportivo Madryn’s recent run of draws (three in the last five, including two at home) combined with Godoy Cruz’s poor away results (three straight away losses without scoring) tilt the balance even further away from an away win. While Deportivo Madryn enjoy home advantage, their inability to convert draws into wins keeps their own win probability moderate. In this matchup, a draw is comfortably the most likely outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

The pre‑match odds are: home win 2.90, draw 1.85, away win 3.60. Bookmakers see the draw as the favourite, reflected in the low price of 1.85. Based on the stats – the 0‑0 H2H, Deportivo Madryn’s draw‑heavy form, and Godoy Cruz’s toothless away displays – our prediction is a draw. We recommend checking team news closer to kick‑off, but the available evidence points firmly to a stalemate.