The Glentoran Belfast United Women vs Riga FC Women prediction for July 22, 2026, in the UEFA Champions League Women points to an away win, with Riga FC Women holding a 47% chance of victory. The match kicks off at 12:00 UTC, and bookmakers have installed the Latvian side as the clear favorite. Glentoran Belfast United Women, playing at home, have a 26% probability, while the draw is rated at 27%.
Glentoran come into this match with a solid run of results. Their last five matches: a 7-0 win over Comber Recreation FC Women (Championship Women), a 2-2 draw at Linfield Women, a 4-0 loss at Cliftonville Women, a 3-1 home win against Derry City Women, and a 4-2 away victory at Crusaders Strikers Women. That's three wins, one draw, and one loss, with 16 goals scored and 9 conceded. The team has shown attacking prowess, especially at home, where they netted 10 goals in two games.
Riga FC Women's recent form is mixed, with all matches being friendlies except a Champions League loss in 2023. Their last five: a 2-0 win at Flora Tallinn Women, a 2-1 loss at Flora Tallinn, a 2-2 draw at Flora Tallinn, a 2-1 win at Gintra Universitetas Women, and a 4-0 loss at SL Benfica Women in the Champions League. That's two wins, one draw, and two losses. The team has struggled for consistency, and the lack of competitive fixtures in recent months raises questions about their sharpness.
There are no previous meetings between Glentoran Belfast United Women and Riga FC Women. This will be the first-ever clash between the two sides.
Based on the odds, team form, and home advantage, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:
The odds imply a 49% chance for Riga, but Glentoran's strong home form (three wins in their last five) and the fact that Riga's recent matches were friendlies slightly adjust the numbers. Riga FC Women remain the most likely winner, but the draw is a real possibility, and Glentoran cannot be discounted at home.
For this Glentoran Belfast United Women vs Riga FC Women prediction, the bookmakers' odds clearly favor the away side. The average odds from three bookmakers are: Glentoran win 3.92, draw 3.43, Riga win 1.88. The best available price for a Riga victory is around 1.83, while Glentoran can be backed at 4.00 and the draw at 2.87.
Our prediction: Riga FC Women to win. However, given the draw probability of 27%, a cautious bet might be the double chance X2 (draw or away win). Glentoran's attacking form at home suggests they could find the net, so over 2.5 goals could also be worth considering.