Gimnasia Jujuy - Chacarita Juniors prediction 12 July 2026

The Gimnasia Jujuy vs Chacarita Juniors prediction for the Primera Nacional match on July 12, 2026, points to a home win. Gimnasia Jujuy has a 60% probability of victory, with the draw at 25% and Chacarita Juniors at 15%.

Team Form

Gimnasia Jujuy's last five matches: D, W, W, W, L. They recorded a 4-0 home win over Nueva Chicago and a 2-1 home win over San Martin de San Juan. Their only defeat came away at CA Atlanta (3-0). The team has scored 10 goals in these five games, showing strong attacking form.

Chacarita Juniors' last five matches: W, D, L, L, L. After an away win at San Martin (1-0) and a home draw with Tristan Suarez, they lost three straight, including a 2-0 away loss to Nueva Chicago and a 3-2 defeat at Deportivo Maipu. They have conceded 6 goals in the last three outings.

Head-to-Head Record

In 9 all-time meetings, the home team has won 4 times, with 3 draws and 2 away wins. The most recent clash in February 2026 saw Chacarita Juniors win 3-1 at home, but Gimnasia Jujuy won the previous two encounters: 2-0 at home in October 2025 and 1-0 away in June 2025. The head-to-head record strongly favors the home side.

League Table Positions

Gimnasia Jujuy sits 2nd in the Primera Nacional with 37 points from 19 matches (11 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses). They boast a perfect home record: 8 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses, with 21 goals scored and only 5 conceded. Chacarita Juniors is outside the top 12 in the overall standings, highlighting a significant gap in performance.

Win Probability: Gimnasia Jujuy or Chacarita Juniors?

Based on the odds, recent form, head-to-head record, and league positions, we calculate the following win probabilities: Gimnasia Jujuy 60%, draw 25%, Chacarita Juniors 15%. The bookmakers' implied odds gave Gimnasia a 51% chance, but their flawless home form and Chacarita's poor run justify a higher probability for the home side. Gimnasia Jujuy is the clear favorite to win.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds show a home win at 1.53, a draw at 2.10, and an away win at 6.50. Bookmakers see Gimnasia Jujuy as the strong favorite. Based on the stats, our prediction is a home victory for Gimnasia Jujuy.