Paju Citizen FC - Gimhae City prediction 5 April 2026
Paju Citizen FC
Gimhae City
Suwon BluewingsPaju Citizen FCHwaseong Shinwoo ElectronicsPaju Citizen FCPaju Citizen FCYongin City FCDaegu FCPaju Citizen FCBusan I ParkPaju Citizen FCPaju Citizen FCGimpo Citizen FCCheonan CityPaju Citizen FCPaju Citizen FCCheongju JikjiPaju Citizen FCGyeongnam FCSeongnam Ilhwa ChunmaPaju Citizen FCPaju Citizen FCSeoul E-LandPaju Citizen FCGimhae CitySuwon CityPaju Citizen FCPaju Citizen FCJeonnam DragonsAnsan GreenersPaju Citizen FCCheonan CityGimhae CityGimhae CitySeoul E-LandSeongnam Ilhwa ChunmaGimhae CityGimhae CityGimpo Citizen FCJeonnam DragonsGimhae CityGimhae CityDaegu FCGyeongnam FCGimhae CityGimhae CityBusan I ParkYongin City FCGimhae CityCheongju JikjiGimhae CityChungnam Asan FCGimhae CityPaju Citizen FCGimhae CityGimhae CitySuwon BluewingsGimhae CitySuwon CityHwaseong Shinwoo ElectronicsGimhae CityPaju Citizen FCGimhae CityGimhae CityPaju Citizen FCPaju Citizen FCGimhae City| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Busan I Park | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 35:21 | +14 | 36 |
| 2 |  Suwon Bluewings | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 22:14 | +8 | 33 |
| 3 |  Daegu FC | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 36:23 | +13 | 32 |
| 4 |  Suwon City | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 36:23 | +13 | 30 |
| 5 |  Seoul E-Land | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 30:21 | +9 | 30 |
| 6 |  Hwaseong Shinwoo Electronics | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26:19 | +7 | 28 |
| 7 |  Gimpo Citizen FC | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20:19 | +1 | 25 |
| 8 |  Chungnam Asan FC | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | +4 | 24 |
| 9 |  Gyeongnam FC | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 23 |
| 10 |  Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 20 |
| 11 |  Cheonan City | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19:20 | -1 | 19 |
| 12 | Paju Citizen FC | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:22 | -5 | 18 |
| 13 |  Yongin City FC | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 20:26 | -6 | 17 |
| 14 |  Cheongju Jikji | 17 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 20:27 | -7 | 17 |
| 15 |  Ansan Greeners | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 17:34 | -17 | 14 |
| 16 |  Jeonnam Dragons | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 19:31 | -12 | 12 |
| 17 | Gimhae City | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 13:33 | -20 | 9 |
Gimhae City vs Paju Citizen FC Prediction (Apr 05)
Our Gimhae City vs Paju Citizen FC prediction for the K-League 2 match on Apr 05, 2026, at 07:30 UTC points to a home victory. Gimhae City enters as the favorite with a 55% win probability, while Paju Citizen FC has just a 20% chance of pulling off an upset. The draw is rated at 25%.
Team Form
Gimhae City have shown mixed results in their last five outings, recording two wins, one draw and two losses. Their most recent fixture was a 1-0 away win at Cheonan City. Before that, they suffered a 1-3 home defeat to Seoul E-Land, drew 1-1 at Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma, lost 1-2 at home to Gimpo Citizen FC, and beat Jeonnam Dragons 1-0 away. The side has kept two clean sheets in that run, but also conceded in three of the five games.
Paju Citizen FC are in dreadful form with four defeats in their last five matches. After a 2-1 away win at Hwaseong Shinwoo Electronics, they lost 0-1 at home to Yongin City FC, 0-1 away at Daegu FC, 1-4 away at Busan I Park, and 0-1 at home to Gimpo Citizen FC. They have scored just once in their last four outings and conceded nine times, highlighting major problems at both ends.
Head-to-Head Record
Across three previous meetings, Gimhae City hold the edge with two wins to Paju Citizen FC's one victory. There have been no draws. The most recent clash on Apr 05, 2026, saw Paju Citizen FC win 3-1 at home, but Gimhae City had won the two prior encounters – 2-0 at home in August 2025 and 2-1 away in April 2025. Overall, Gimhae City have outscored Paju 5-4 in this head-to-head series.
League Table Positions
Paju Citizen FC are 12th in the K-League 2 standings with 17 points from 16 matches (5 wins, 2 draws, 9 losses). They have scored 17 goals and conceded 22. Gimhae City are not listed in the top 12 of the overall table, suggesting they are lower in the league. However, their recent form and the historically poor away record of Paju Citizen FC (3 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses on the road) give the hosts a clear edge in this matchup.
Win Probability: Gimhae City or Paju Citizen FC?
Based on all available data, we assign the following outcome probabilities:
- Gimhae City win: 55%
- Draw: 25%
- Paju Citizen FC win: 20%
Gimhae City’s superior recent form (2W-1D-2L vs. 1W-0D-4L), the head-to-head advantage (2 wins in 3 games), and home factor all point to a home win. Paju Citizen FC’s terrible run of four losses in five games, combined with a leaky defense, makes them clear underdogs. The draw is given a moderate chance due to the unpredictable nature of the league.
Odds & Match Prediction
There are no specific odds from bookmakers in the data provided. However, bookmakers would likely see Gimhae City as the favorite. Our prediction is a home win, aligned with the 55% probability. The final score could be a narrow 2-1 or 1-0, given Gimhae City’s tendency to edge tight games and Paju Citizen’s lack of goals.
Gimhae City vs Paju Citizen FC — FAQ
- Who will win Gimhae City vs Paju Citizen FC?
- Gimhae City has a 55% chance to win, the draw is at 25%, and Paju Citizen FC has a 20% chance. Based on better form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, Gimhae City is the most likely winner.
- What is the win probability for Gimhae City?
- Gimhae City has a 55% win probability. This is derived from their stronger recent form (two wins in their last five compared to Paju Citizen’s one win), a 2-1 head-to-head lead, and the boost of playing at home.
- When is the Gimhae City vs Paju Citizen FC match?
- The match is on Apr 05, 2026, at 07:30 UTC. It is a K-League 2 fixture taking place in Korea Republic.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Odds are not currently available in our data, but bookmakers would likely install Gimhae City as the favorite given their form and the visitors’ poor run. Always check the latest odds before placing a bet.