Gil Vicente - Avs Futebol Sad prediction 3 April 2026

For the Primeira Liga clash on Apr 03, 2026 at 14:30, our Gil Vicente vs Avs Futebol Sad prediction gives the home side a 40% win probability. The draw and an away win both stand at 30%, making this a very balanced encounter at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos.

Team Form

Gil Vicente's recent form has been disappointing, with just one victory in their last five matches (L, L, D, W, L). They lost 3-0 to Sporting Lisbon and 3-1 at home to Arouca, drew 0-0 at Rio Ave, beat Casa Pia 2-1 at home, then lost again 1-0 at home to Vitoria Guimaraes. That run shows struggles at both ends.

Avs Futebol Sad, on the other hand, are unbeaten in five (D, W, W, D, D). They drew 0-0 away at Moreirense, shocked FC Porto 3-1 at home, won 2-1 at Nacional Madeira, drew 1-1 at home with Sporting Lisbon, and drew 2-2 at Rio Ave. Their away form is solid, picking up a win and two draws in the last three road trips.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last four meetings prior to this fixture, Gil Vicente lead the series with two wins to Avs Futebol Sad’s one, plus one draw. Here’s how those matches finished:

• Nov 09, 2025: Avs Futebol Sad 1–1 Gil Vicente
• Jan 27, 2025: Avs Futebol Sad 1–0 Gil Vicente
• Jun 21, 2020: Gil Vicente 3–0 Avs Futebol Sad
• Nov 08, 2019: Avs Futebol Sad 1–2 Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente have won both home fixtures in that span, scoring three goals each time. Avs Futebol Sad picked up their only win at home in January 2025.

Win Probability: Gil Vicente or Avs Futebol Sad?

After weighing all available data — recent form, head-to-head history, and home advantage — we assign the following win probabilities:

• Gil Vicente win: 40%
• Draw: 30%
• Avs Futebol Sad win: 30%

Gil Vicente’s historical edge at home and the fact they beat Avs 3-0 the last time they hosted them gives them a narrow favourite tag. However, their current form (only one win in five) cannot be ignored. Avs Futebol Sad’s unbeaten streak and strong away performances balance the scales. The 30% draw probability reflects the likelihood that both teams cancel each other out.

With no league table data available to adjust further, our conclusion is that Gil Vicente are slightly more likely to win, but the draw and away win are equally plausible outcomes.

Odds & Match Prediction

At the time of writing, bookmakers have not released odds for this Primeira Liga match. Our analysis, based on the stats, suggests a very tight contest. Given Gil Vicente’s home advantage but poor form, and Avs Futebol Sad’s resilience, the safest betting tip would be to back the double chance: Gil Vicente or Draw. Alternatively, a low-scoring draw could be on the cards.

Match Prediction: Draw (though a narrow home win is also possible).