Budissa Bautzen - Germania Halberstadt prediction 17 May 2026

The Germania Halberstadt vs Budissa Bautzen prediction for May 17, 2026, in the Germany Oberliga points to an away-side advantage. Based on recent form and head-to-head data, Budissa Bautzen enters this match as the favorite with a 45% win probability, while Germania Halberstadt has a 25% chance and the draw stands at 30%.

Team Form

Germania Halberstadt are struggling badly. Their last five matches in all competitions show four defeats and one draw: a 1-3 home loss to sc freital, a 0-1 away loss at Einheit Rudolstadt, a 0-2 home loss to VFC Plauen, a 0-0 home draw with RSV Eintracht 1949, and a 1-3 away loss to Budissa Bautzen. They have failed to win any of those games and scored just one goal in that stretch.

Budissa Bautzen's recent form is mixed but notably better. In their last five outings they recorded two wins, one draw, and two losses: a 0-14 friendly loss to Dynamo Dresden (not relevant for competitive form), a 2-4 away loss to VfB Auerbach, a 3-1 home win over Germania Halberstadt, a 3-2 away win at SC 1911 Heiligenstadt, and a 1-1 away draw at Lok Stendal. Excluding the friendly, they have two wins, one draw, and one loss in their last four competitive matches.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head record heavily favors the home side historically: in 12 previous meetings, the home team won 9 times, with 1 draw and only 2 away wins. The most recent encounter was on May 17, 2026, when Budissa Bautzen beat Germania Halberstadt 3-1 at home. Before that, Germania Halberstadt won 2-0 at home in November 2025. The last five H2H matches show Germania Halberstadt with 3 wins and Budissa Bautzen with 2 wins, but the home team won 4 of those 5 games.

Win Probability: Germania Halberstadt or Budissa Bautzen?

We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Budissa Bautzen 45%, draw 30%, Germania Halberstadt 25%. This assessment is based on the absence of bookmaker odds, so we rely on team form, head-to-head trends, and the home/away factor. Budissa Bautzen's superior recent results (two wins in their last four competitive games) give them the edge, while Germania Halberstadt's dreadful run (no win in five, only one goal scored) significantly lowers their chances. The historical H2H home dominance would normally favor Germania Halberstadt, but their current form is too poor to ignore. The draw probability is elevated because both teams have shown an ability to share points in recent matches.

Odds & Match Prediction

No bookmaker odds are available in the data for this fixture. Our prediction is based purely on the statistical indicators. Budissa Bautzen is the more likely winner, but the match could easily end in a draw. A low-scoring affair is expected given Germania Halberstadt's attacking woes. The final prediction: Budissa Bautzen to win or draw, with a 45% chance of an away victory.