Yalova Yesilovaspor - Gaziantep FK prediction 4 December 2025

Our Gaziantep FK vs Yalova Yesilovaspor prediction for the Turkish Cup match on Dec 04, 2025, sees the home side as a dominant force. Gaziantep FK holds a 75% win probability thanks to a massive gap in league level and home advantage. The game kicks off at 10:00, with the Super Lig hosts expected to cruise past third-tier opposition.

Team Form

Gaziantep FK’s recent form in the Super League has been shaky, recording L, L, L, L, W over their last five matches. They stopped a four-game losing streak with a convincing 3-0 home win over Kayserispor on Apr 20, 2026. Before that they suffered defeats to Istanbul Basaksehir (1-2), Goztepe (1-2), Besiktas (0-2), and Eyupspor (0-3). Despite the poor run, the victory shows they can dominate weaker opponents, and facing a 3 Lig side is a step down in quality.

Yalova Yesilovaspor have lost all of their last five outings (L, L, L, L, L) in the 3 Lig. In that spell they scored only three goals while conceding ten. Their latest defeat was a 1-0 reverse at Inkilap on Apr 18, and previous losses to Corluspor 1947 (0-2), Etimesgut Belediyespor (0-2), 1926 Polatli Belediyespor (1-2), and Bursa Nilufer FK (2-3) underline their struggles. The team has lacked both defensive solidity and attacking threat, a combination that spells trouble against a higher division opponent.

Head-to-Head Record

The historical record between Gaziantep FK and Yalova Yesilovaspor is virtually non-existent. The only documented meeting is this fixture itself, so there is no meaningful H2H data to rely on. With no previous encounters, the prediction relies entirely on current form and the clear disparity in team caliber.

League Table Positions

In the Turkish Cup standings, Gaziantep FK sit 10th with 6 points from 4 matches (2 wins, 2 losses, 8 scored, 10 conceded). Yalova Yesilovaspor do not appear in the group table because they compete in the 3 Lig, the fourth tier of Turkish football. The difference in league level is stark: Gaziantep face top-flight opponents weekly, while Yalova’s experience is confined to semi-professional sides. This gap heavily influences the win probability.

Win Probability: Gaziantep FK or Yalova Yesilovaspor?

Gaziantep FK has a 75% chance of winning, the draw is at 15%, and Yalova Yesilovaspor has a 10% chance. This conclusion stems from several factors:

• League class: Super Lig vs 3 Lig. Gaziantep regularly compete against Turkey’s best, while Yalova operate four divisions below.
• Home advantage: Playing at home gives Gaziantep extra comfort, even if their recent Super Lig form at home has been mixed.
• Form and morale: Gaziantep’s last match was a 3-0 victory, injecting confidence. Yalova have lost five in a row, conceding at least twice in four of those games.
• Squad depth: The home side possesses a professional, deeper roster capable of controlling the match.

Based on these points, a home win is the most likely outcome. Yalova could force a draw if they defend exceptionally, but an away victory is a major upset scenario.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmaker odds for this match are not available in our data. Nevertheless, based on the stats, Gaziantep FK are seen as the clear favorite. A final prediction of a Gaziantep FK win with a clean sheet aligns with the huge quality gap and Yalova’s goal-scoring difficulties. Expect the home side to dominate possession and create enough chances to secure a comfortable margin.