Gavilanes FC Matamoros - Lobos ULMX prediction 1 March 2026

The Gavilanes FC Matamoros vs Lobos ULMX prediction for the Liga Premier Serie A match on Mar 01, 2026, at 01:00 points to a home win, with Gavilanes FC Matamoros holding a 55% probability of victory. The hosts have a strong home record and recent form, making them the clear favorite in this encounter.

Team Form

Gavilanes FC Matamoros come into this match with impressive form, having won four of their last five matches (W, W, W, L, W). Their most recent results include a 1-0 home win over Atletico Zacatepec on Apr 12, a 3-1 away win at Cordobes FC on Mar 28, and a 3-1 away win at Sporting Canamy on Mar 21. The only setback was a 0-1 home loss to Halcones de Zapopan on Mar 15, but they bounced back with a 2-0 away win at Ciervos on Mar 07.

Lobos ULMX have also shown decent form with three wins in their last five away matches (W, W, W, L, L). They secured a 1-0 home win over Zitacuaro CF on Mar 29, a 3-1 away win at Atletico Hidalgo on Mar 20, and a 3-1 home win over Cordobes FC on Mar 15. However, they suffered a 0-3 away loss to Halcones de Zapopan on Mar 07 and a 0-1 away loss to Gavilanes FC Matamoros on Mar 01, which was their most recent head-to-head meeting.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last three meetings between Gavilanes FC Matamoros and Lobos ULMX, the home side has won twice and the away side once, with no draws. Gavilanes FC Matamoros won the most recent clash 1-0 at home on Mar 01, 2026. Previously, Lobos ULMX won 1-0 at home on Oct 12, 2025, and Gavilanes FC Matamoros won 2-1 away on Oct 13, 2024. Overall, Gavilanes lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Lobos' 1.

League Table Positions

Gavilanes FC Matamoros sit 7th in the home league table with 30 points from 13 home matches (9 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss). They have scored 19 goals and conceded only 6 at home, highlighting their defensive solidity. Lobos ULMX are not listed among the top teams in the overall, home, or away standings provided, suggesting they are lower in the table. This home advantage and superior league position strongly favor Gavilanes.

Win Probability: Gavilanes FC Matamoros or Lobos ULMX?

Based on the available data, Gavilanes FC Matamoros have a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Lobos ULMX have a 20% chance. This calculation considers the home team's strong home form (9-3-1), recent results (4 wins in 5), head-to-head edge (2-1), and the fact that Lobos are not in the top standings. Without bookmaker odds, the probabilities are estimated from these performance indicators. Gavilanes FC Matamoros are the more likely winners.

Odds & Match Prediction

No specific odds are available for this match in the provided data. However, based on the stats, bookmakers would likely see Gavilanes FC Matamoros as the favorite. Our prediction is a home win for Gavilanes FC Matamoros, reflecting their consistent form and historical advantage in this fixture.