Uganda - Gabon prediction 17 December 2025

The Gabon vs Uganda prediction for the Friendly International match on December 17, 2025, points to a tight contest. Based on recent form and the head-to-head record, a draw is the most probable result with a 40% chance.

Team Form

Gabon enter this match in poor shape, with one draw and four losses in their last five outings. They drew 2-2 away to Trinidad and Tobago on Mar 30, 2026, but suffered defeats against Uzbekistan (3-1), Cote d'Ivoire (3-2), Mozambique (3-2), and Cameroon (1-0). Defensive frailties have been evident, conceding 12 goals in those five matches.

Uganda's recent results are slightly more resilient, recording two draws and three losses. They lost 3-1 to Nigeria on Dec 30, 2025, drew 1-1 with Tanzania, lost 3-1 to Tunisia, drew 0-0 with Gabon, and were beaten 4-0 by Morocco. While still winless in five, the two draws suggest a capacity to grind out results.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met only once before, with that encounter ending in a goalless draw. The match, played on Dec 17, 2025, saw neither side able to break the deadlock, highlighting the lack of cutting edge in both attacks.

Win Probability: Gabon or Uganda?

We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Gabon 35%, Draw 40%, Uganda 25%. The draw is the most likely outcome, reflecting both teams' struggles to secure victories. Gabon's home advantage gives them a slight edge over Uganda, but their four consecutive defeats and leaky defense offset that benefit. Uganda's two draws in five matches, including one against Gabon, indicate they can hold firm, but their own scoring problems (just 2 goals in those five games) make a win unlikely. The head-to-head stalemate further supports a share of the points.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds are not available for this fixture. Based on the available stats, the most sensible betting tip is a draw. Our prediction: Draw.