Fylkir - Njardvik prediction 17 July 2026

Fylkir vs Njardvik prediction for the Iceland 1st Division clash on July 17, 2026, at 19:15. According to the latest betting odds and team statistics, Fylkir enters this match as the favorite with a 49% chance of winning, while the draw stands at 25% and an away win for Njardvik at 26%.

Team Form

Fylkir's last five matches show three wins, one draw, and one loss (W-L-W-W-D). They scored 11 goals in these games, including a 4-2 away victory over Aegir on July 3 and a 5-2 win at Grotta on June 21, but suffered a 0-2 home defeat to HK Kopavogur on June 26. Njardvik's recent form is mixed with three wins and two losses (W-W-L-W-L). They secured home wins against UMF Grindavik (5-4 on July 10) and Throttur Reykjavik (1-0 on July 3), but lost away to Afturelding (0-2 on June 26) and Volsungur (1-2 on June 13).

Head-to-Head Record

In the last five meetings across all competitions, Fylkir and Njardvik have two wins each and one draw. The most recent league encounters have favored Njardvik: they won 2-0 at home in May 2026, 1-0 away in July 2025, and drew 1-1 at home in May 2025. Fylkir's last win over Njardvik came in the League Cup in March 2025 (3-0).

League Table Positions

Fylkir sits 3rd in the 1st Division with 24 points from 12 matches (8 wins, 0 draws, 4 losses), just four points behind leaders Afturelding. They have scored 23 goals and conceded 17. Njardvik is 6th with 20 points from 13 games (6 wins, 2 draws, 5 losses), with 19 goals for and 15 against. At home, Fylkir has a strong record of 4 wins and 2 losses, while Njardvik's away form is poor with only 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses in six trips.

Win Probability: Fylkir or Njardvik?

Based on the odds, team form, and home advantage, we calculate the following win probabilities: Fylkir 49%, draw 25%, Njardvik 26%. The bookmakers' odds (1.85 home, 3.55 draw, 3.45 away) imply a 48.6% chance for a home win after removing the margin, and we slightly adjust upward due to Fylkir's superior league position and home strength. Njardvik's recent H2H success keeps their chances close to the draw. Overall, Fylkir is the more likely winner, but the match could be tight.

Odds & Match Prediction

The pre-match odds from bookmakers are: Fylkir win at 1.85, draw at 3.55, and Njardvik win at 3.45. These odds clearly favor the home side. Considering Fylkir's solid home form (4-0-2) and Njardvik's struggles on the road (1-1-4), the stats point to a home victory. However, Njardvik has not lost to Fylkir in their last three league meetings, so a draw cannot be ruled out. Our prediction: Fylkir to win, but with caution.

Pre-Match Update: Three Days to Kick-Off

Fylkir have climbed to 2nd in the table with 27 points after a 5-2 away win at IF Vestri on July 13, their fourth victory in five league matches. Current odds now shorten the hosts to 1.62, implying a 55.6% win probability once the bookmaker margin is removed. The draw is priced at 3.80 (23.7%) and an away win for Njardvik at 4.33 (20.8%), suggesting the market sees a clear home advantage.