FSV Frankfurt - Mainz 05 II prediction 9 May 2026

The Regionalliga match between FSV Frankfurt and Mainz 05 II takes place on May 09, 2026, at 12:00. Our FSV Frankfurt vs Mainz 05 II prediction gives Mainz 05 II a 38% win probability, with FSV Frankfurt at 32% and the draw at 30%.

Team Form

FSV Frankfurt's last five matches: W, D, W, L, D. They come into this game with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five outings. Notably, they won 3-1 away at Bayern Alzenau on May 02 and drew 3-3 at Kickers Offenbach on Apr 22, but suffered a heavy 0-6 home defeat to TSV Steinbach on Apr 26.

Mainz 05 II's recent form reads L, D, D, W, L. They have one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five. They drew 0-0 at home to SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach on May 02 and won 2-1 at SGV Freiberg on Apr 25, but lost 1-3 at home to SV Sandhausen on Apr 21.

Head-to-Head Record

In 19 previous meetings, Mainz 05 II has won 9 times, FSV Frankfurt 5, with 5 draws. The last four encounters before this match: Nov 09, 2025 – Mainz 05 II 0-1 FSV Frankfurt; Apr 02, 2025 – Mainz 05 II 3-0 FSV Frankfurt; Oct 03, 2023 – Mainz 05 II 2-0 FSV Frankfurt; Apr 04, 2023 – Mainz 05 II 1-1 FSV Frankfurt. Mainz 05 II clearly holds the historical edge.

Win Probability: FSV Frankfurt or Mainz 05 II?

Based on the available data (head-to-head record, recent form, and home advantage), we calculate the win probabilities as follows: FSV Frankfurt win: 32%, Draw: 30%, Mainz 05 II win: 38%. Mainz 05 II's historical dominance in this fixture (9 wins in 19 matches) gives them a slight edge, despite FSV Frankfurt's slightly better recent form. The home team has won only 5 of the 19 H2H meetings, so home advantage is not a decisive factor here. Therefore, Mainz 05 II is the more likely winner, but the match is expected to be close.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for this match are not available in our data. However, based on the statistical analysis, our prediction leans towards a Mainz 05 II win or a draw. The most likely outcome is an away victory, but a low-scoring draw is also a strong possibility, as reflected in the 30% draw probability. Given both teams' recent form, a close contest is expected.