The Frydek-Mistek vs Vitkovice prediction for May 09, 2026, in the Czech Republic 3 Liga sees Vitkovice as the favorite with a 30% win probability, though a draw is the most likely outcome at 55%. Frydek-Mistek enters this match with a 15% chance to win, based on recent form and head-to-head history.
Frydek-Mistek's last five matches have produced four draws and one defeat (D, D, D, L, D). They have not won in that stretch, scoring 7 goals and conceding 9. Their most recent result was a 2-2 home draw against TJ Unie Hlubina on Jun 12.
Vitkovice's form is stronger: two wins, two draws, and one loss (D, W, W, L, D). They scored 9 goals and conceded 5 in those five games. A 5-1 home win over Slovacko B on Jun 11 highlights their attacking potential.
In 18 previous meetings, Frydek-Mistek has won 3 times, Vitkovice 5 times, and 10 matches ended in draws. The most recent league clash (Oct 04, 2025) finished 1-0 to Frydek-Mistek at home. Historically, draws dominate this fixture, with a 56% draw rate.
We calculate the outcome chances as follows:
These percentages are derived from the head-to-head record (56% draws, 17% home wins, 28% away wins) and adjusted for current form. Frydek-Mistek's winless run reduces their home advantage, while Vitkovice's two recent wins lift their away prospects. The draw remains the most probable result.
Bookmakers' odds for this fixture are not available in the data. Based on the statistical analysis, Vitkovice is the more likely winner, but a draw is the single most probable outcome. Our Frydek-Mistek vs Vitkovice prediction leans towards a low-scoring draw, consistent with the teams' recent results and H2H trend.