| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28:14 | +14 | 33 | |
| 2 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 20:16 | +4 | 27 | |
| 3 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 26:18 | +8 | 26 | |
| 4 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 14:10 | +4 | 26 | |
| 5 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22:13 | +9 | 25 | |
| 6 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21:12 | +9 | 25 | |
| 7 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 26:17 | +9 | 20 | |
| 8 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19:12 | +7 | 19 | |
| 9 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 21:27 | -6 | 19 | |
| 10 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 14:16 | -2 | 18 | |
| 11 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 21:25 | -4 | 17 | |
| 12 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 15:29 | -14 | 17 | |
| 13 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 19:22 | -3 | 16 | |
| 14 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 7:18 | -11 | 10 | |
| 15 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 16:29 | -13 | 10 | |
| 16 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11:22 | -11 | 10 |
The China League One match between Foshan Nanshi and Chongqing Tonglianglong on October 11, 2025 at 11:30 is analyzed here. Based on recent form and head-to-head record, Foshan Nanshi has a 28% chance to win, the draw stands at 32%, and Chongqing Tonglianglong has a 40% probability of victory.
Foshan Nanshi enter this match in poor shape: their last five results are L, L, L, D, D. They suffered a 1-3 defeat at Nanjing Fengfan, lost 0-2 at home to Yanbian Longding, and were thrashed 0-5 at home by Shaanxi Union. Back-to-back draws followed — 3-3 at Guangxi Hengchen FC and 1-1 at home against Heilongjiang Ice City. Over these five games they scored five goals and conceded 14, highlighting defensive frailties.
Chongqing Tonglianglong’s recent form is mixed: D, L, W, W, L. They drew 1-1 at Chengdu Rongcheng, lost 1-3 at Liaoning Shenyang, beat Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 1-0 at home, won 2-0 away to Ningbo Professional FC in the FA Cup, and lost 2-3 at home to Beijing Guoan. They have managed two wins in five outings and carry a slight momentum edge.
The two teams have met twice before. On May 31, 2025, they played a 1-1 draw in Foshan Nanshi’s own stadium. In the most recent clash, Chongqing Tonglianglong won 2-0 at home. The head-to-head record shows one win for the away side and one draw — Foshan Nanshi have yet to beat Chongqing Tonglianglong.
Neither side appears in the top 12 of the overall China League One standings. This indicates both clubs are currently in the lower half of the table, with significant gaps to the promotion places.
We calculate the chances of each outcome using recent form, head-to-head data, and the home/away context. Foshan Nanshi’s miserable home streak (three straight defeats, no win in five) drops their probability to 28%. The draw stands at 32% — Foshan Nanshi have drawn their last two and Chongqing have one draw in five. Chongqing Tonglianglong’s ability to pick up wins on the road, combined with a positive H2H record, gives them a 40% chance. Overall, Chongqing Tonglianglong is the more likely winner, but a draw is a very close second.
No bookmaker odds are available for this fixture at the time of writing. Our prediction, based purely on the statistics, points to an away win or draw. Betting interest could lie in a Chongqing Tonglianglong victory at a potential plus price, or a “double chance” on the away side. Given Foshan Nanshi’s defensive issues, over 2.5 total goals might also be worth considering if the lines reflect recent high-scoring contests.