Fortuna Dusseldorf - SC Paderborn 07 prediction 1 February 2026

The Fortuna Dusseldorf vs SC Paderborn 07 prediction for this Bundesliga 2 match on February 1, 2026, at 12:30, points to a competitive contest. Based on recent form, head-to-head record, and league positions, Fortuna Dusseldorf enters as a slight favorite with an estimated 40% win probability.

Team Form

Fortuna Dusseldorf comes into this match with a mixed run of results, recording three wins and two losses in their last five outings (W, L, W, L, W). Highlights include a 3-1 home victory against SV Elversberg and a 3-1 win over Dynamo Dresden, while they suffered a 3-0 defeat at Greuther Furth. SC Paderborn 07's recent form shows they are harder to beat, with one win, three draws, and one loss (D, D, W, D, L). They held VfL Wolfsburg to two draws and beat SV Darmstadt 98 2-0 away, but a heavy 5-1 loss at SV Elversberg exposed defensive vulnerabilities.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams is closely balanced. In their last 17 meetings, SC Paderborn 07 holds a narrow edge with 7 wins compared to Fortuna Dusseldorf's 6, along with 4 draws. The most recent encounter saw Fortuna Dusseldorf secure a 2-1 home victory on this exact matchday. Prior to that, Dusseldorf won two away games at Paderborn, both by a 2-1 scoreline, while the earlier match in Dusseldorf ended in a 1-1 draw.

League Table Positions

In the overall Bundesliga 2 standings, SC Paderborn 07 sits higher in 3rd place with 62 points from 34 games, while Fortuna Dusseldorf's final position is not explicitly listed in the top 12. Paderborn's record stands at 18 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses, with 59 goals scored and 45 conceded. Notably, Paderborn has performed well on the road, claiming 29 points from 17 away matches (8 wins, 5 draws, 4 losses), which is the second-best away record in the league. Fortuna Dusseldorf's exact points and position are unavailable in the provided data, but their form suggests they are competitive at home.

Win Probability: Fortuna Dusseldorf or SC Paderborn 07?

After analyzing all available data and calculating implied probabilities, the chances for this match are: Fortuna Dusseldorf win – 40%, Draw – 30%, SC Paderborn 07 win – 30%. This assessment is grounded in the head-to-head record where Dusseldorf has won two of the last three encounters, their recent home form (two consecutive 3-1 wins), and Paderborn's tendency to draw matches. Paderborn's strong away record and higher league position prevent them from being a clear underdog, making the draw a very realistic outcome. Overall, Fortuna Dusseldorf appears slightly more likely to secure the victory.

Odds & Match Prediction

Specific betting odds are not available in the provided data for this match. However, based on the statistics, bookmakers would likely view this as a tight contest, with Fortuna Dusseldorf as a marginal favorite due to home advantage and recent head-to-head success. The final Fortuna Dusseldorf vs SC Paderborn 07 prediction is a home win, but a draw represents a strong alternative outcome given Paderborn's resilience.