Fortuna Dusseldorf - SC Freiburg prediction 23 August 2026

The Fortuna Dusseldorf vs SC Freiburg prediction for the DFB Pokal match on August 23, 2026, at 16:00 UTC points to an away win. Based on the odds and recent form, SC Freiburg has a 63% chance of winning, while Fortuna Dusseldorf's chances stand at just 15%, with a 22% probability of a draw.

Team Form

Fortuna Dusseldorf's last five results (all competitions):

• Jul 08: Teutonia St. Tonis 0-5 Fortuna Dusseldorf (W)
• Jul 03: FC Monheim 0-6 Fortuna Dusseldorf (W)
• May 17: Greuther Furth 3-0 Fortuna Dusseldorf (L)
• May 10: Fortuna Dusseldorf 3-1 SV Elversberg (W)
• May 02: Schalke 04 1-0 Fortuna Dusseldorf (L)

Fortuna compete in the 2. Bundesliga and their recent competitive form is mixed, with two losses in the last three league outings. The friendly wins came against lower-tier opposition.

SC Freiburg's last five results:

• May 20: SC Freiburg 0-3 Aston Villa (L)
• May 16: SC Freiburg 4-1 RB Leipzig (W)
• May 10: Hamburger SV 3-2 SC Freiburg (L)
• May 07: SC Freiburg 3-1 Braga (W)
• May 03: SC Freiburg 1-1 VfL Wolfsburg (D)

SC Freiburg play in the Bundesliga and the UEFA Europa League. Their form shows inconsistency but they have recorded impressive wins against Leipzig and Braga, while suffering a heavy defeat to Aston Villa.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides met once in recent history: on October 29, 2025, in the DFB Pokal, SC Freiburg won 3-1 away at Fortuna Dusseldorf. That result gives the visitors a psychological edge heading into this clash.

Win Probability: Fortuna Dusseldorf or SC Freiburg?

We calculate the win probabilities based on the bookmakers' odds and team form. The inverse of the 1X2 odds (home 6.50, draw 4.33, away 1.49) implies probabilities of 14.6% for a home win, 21.9% for a draw, and 63.6% for an away win after removing the margin. Adjusting for Fortuna Dusseldorf's mixed form, the home advantage, and SC Freiburg's higher league level and head-to-head win, we set the final probabilities at 15% for Fortuna Dusseldorf, 22% for the draw, and 63% for SC Freiburg. SC Freiburg is the clear favorite to win.

Fortuna Dusseldorf vs SC Freiburg Odds & Prediction

The best available 1X2 odds are: Fortuna Dusseldorf 6.50, Draw 4.33, SC Freiburg 1.49. Bookmakers see SC Freiburg as the strong favorite. Based on the stats, our prediction is an away win for SC Freiburg. A bet on SC Freiburg to win offers value given their superior quality, but the low odds reflect the high probability. For those seeking higher returns, the draw at 4.33 could be an outside chance, but the data strongly supports the away side.