Fortuna Dusseldorf - Arminia Bielefeld prediction 16 January 2026

Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Arminia Bielefeld prediction for the Bundesliga 2 clash on Jan 16, 2026, at 17:30. Based on the stats, Fortuna Dusseldorf are the favorites with a 40% win probability, while the draw is at 30% and an Arminia Bielefeld win at 30%.

Team Form

Fortuna Dusseldorf's last five matches show three wins and two losses (W, L, W, L, W). They have been inconsistent but capable of strong performances, including a 3-1 home win over SV Elversberg and a 3-1 victory against Dynamo Dresden. Their two defeats came away at Greuther Furth (0-3) and Schalke 04 (0-1).

Arminia Bielefeld's recent form reads two wins, two draws, and one loss (W, L, D, W, D). They recorded an impressive 6-1 home win over Hertha Berlin and a 3-2 away win at Preussen Munster, but also lost 0-2 at Kaiserslautern. The two draws (1-1 vs VfL Bochum and 1-1 vs Nurnberg) highlight their resilience.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last four meetings between these sides (excluding the current fixture), the head-to-head record is evenly balanced. Fortuna Dusseldorf won 4-1 at home in October 2022, while Arminia Bielefeld claimed a 5-1 home victory in August 2025. The other two clashes ended in 2-2 draws (January 2024 and April 2023). Overall, Fortuna Dusseldorf have 5 wins, Arminia Bielefeld have 3 wins, and there have been 3 draws in their 11 previous encounters.

League Table Positions

Neither Fortuna Dusseldorf nor Arminia Bielefeld appear in the top 12 of the Bundesliga 2 standings, indicating both teams are in the lower half of the table. The exact positions and points are not available, but the gap to the top sides suggests a mid-to-lower table battle.

Win Probability: Fortuna Dusseldorf or Arminia Bielefeld?

After analyzing the available data, we assign the following win probabilities: Fortuna Dusseldorf 40%, draw 30%, Arminia Bielefeld 30%. The home advantage and a slightly superior historical head-to-head record (5 wins vs 3) tilt the scales in Fortuna Dusseldorf's favor. However, Arminia Bielefeld's recent form—with two draws and only one loss in five—shows they are difficult to beat, making a stalemate a realistic outcome. The alternating pattern in Fortuna Dusseldorf's results also adds uncertainty. Overall, Fortuna Dusseldorf are more likely to win, but the match is expected to be close.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for this match are not provided in the data. Based purely on the statistics—team form, head-to-head record, and the home factor—Fortuna Dusseldorf enter the game as the narrow favorites. The prediction is a tight contest, with a home win or a draw being the most probable outcomes. Arminia Bielefeld cannot be ruled out, but they will need to overcome their inconsistent away form to take all three points.