Folgore Caratese - OltrepoVoghera prediction 11 April 2026

Our Folgore Caratese vs OltrepoVoghera prediction for this Serie D match on April 11, 2026, at 18:30 points towards a home advantage. Based on the available data, Folgore Caratese has a 45% win probability, while OltrepoVoghera sits at 30%, with a 25% chance of a draw.

Team Form

Folgore Caratese's recent form has been inconsistent. Their last five results show two wins, two losses, and one draw (L, W, W, L, D). In their most recent match, they suffered a 3-0 away defeat to Vado. Prior to that, they secured a solid 2-0 home victory against Treviso and a dominant 5-1 home win over Sondrio.

OltrepoVoghera enters the match with stronger recent momentum. Their last five results are three wins, one draw, and one loss (W, D, W, W, L). Their latest outing was a convincing 3-1 away win against ASD Villa D'Alme. They also recorded back-to-back home wins against Real Calepina (1-0) and Usd Breno (2-0).

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Folgore Caratese. In their three previous meetings, Folgore Caratese has won twice, with one match ending in a draw. OltrepoVoghera has never won this fixture. The most recent clash was the reverse fixture on April 11, 2026, which ended in a 1-1 draw. Earlier, Folgore Caratese won 2-0 away on November 30, 2025, and 2-1 away on January 8, 2017.

League Table Positions

Neither team is listed in the top 12 of the available Serie D overall standings, which are led by Vado with 78 points. The provided home and away table segments also do not feature Folgore Caratese or OltrepoVoghera, suggesting they are positioned in the lower half of the league. This makes a direct positional comparison impossible from the given data, but it indicates a competitive match between two sides looking to climb the table.

Win Probability: Folgore Caratese or OltrepoVoghera?

We have calculated the win probabilities for this match based on team form, head-to-head record, and the home advantage. Folgore Caratese has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and OltrepoVoghera has a 30% chance. The home team's historical dominance in the H2H (2 wins, 1 draw) is a significant factor. However, OltrepoVoghera's superior recent form (3 wins in their last 5) balances the scales, preventing the home side from being a stronger favorite. The absence of odds data means this calculation is purely based on statistical indicators.

Odds & Match Prediction

No specific odds are available in the provided data for this match. Based on the stats, Folgore Caratese enters the match as the slight favorite, primarily due to their unbeaten head-to-head record and home advantage. However, OltrepoVoghera's recent form makes them a dangerous opponent. Our final Folgore Caratese vs OltrepoVoghera prediction is a tightly contested match, with the home side having the edge to potentially secure a narrow victory, but a draw is a very realistic outcome.