Flota Swinoujscie - Victoria Wrzesnia prediction 14 March 2026

The Flota Swinoujscie vs Victoria Wrzesnia prediction answers the key question: who will win this III Liga match on March 14, 2026? Based on our analysis of form, head-to-head record, and available stats, Flota Swinoujscie enters as the slight favorite with a 48% win probability, while Victoria Wrzesnia has a 27% chance and the draw stands at 25%.

Team Form

Flota Swinoujscie's recent form has been inconsistent: in their last five matches they recorded one win, one draw, and three losses. Their latest results include a 3-0 away defeat to Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski on May 30, a 0-0 home draw with Cartusia Kartuzy on May 22, a 1-2 home loss to Pogon Szczecin II on May 17, a 3-1 away win at LKS Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal on May 13, and a 0-3 home defeat to Wda Swiecie on May 9. They have struggled to keep clean sheets and have found wins hard to come by at home.

Victoria Wrzesnia, on the other hand, have two wins and three losses in their last five outings. They beat Lech Poznan II 2-1 away on May 30, lost 1-3 at home to Lipno Steszew on May 23, defeated Kluczevia Stargard 2-1 at home on May 16, fell 1-2 at Unia Swarzedz on May 13, and lost 0-1 at home to KTS-K Luzino on May 9. Their away form shows mixed results but they have managed to pick up two victories on the road in this period.

Head-to-Head Record

The only previous meeting between these two sides took place on August 27, 2025, when Flota Swinoujscie claimed a 2-1 away win against Victoria Wrzesnia. That result gives Flota a 100% winning record in this fixture, though the sample size is small.

League Table Positions

Neither Flota Swinoujscie nor Victoria Wrzesnia appear in the provided top-12 standings of the III Liga. This indicates both teams occupy lower positions in the league table, though direct points comparisons are not available from the data.

Win Probability: Flota Swinoujscie or Victoria Wrzesnia?

After weighing all available factors—form, head-to-head history, home advantage, and league context—we assign the following outcome probabilities: Flota Swinoujscie win 48%, draw 25%, Victoria Wrzesnia win 27%. The home side's dominance in the only previous meeting and the benefit of playing at home tilt the balance slightly in their favor, but Victoria Wrzesnia's slightly better recent away form prevents Flota from being a strong favorite. The calculated win probability confirms that Flota Swinoujscie is the more likely winner, yet the draw and an away win remain plausible outcomes.

Odds & Match Prediction

No bookmaker odds are included in the provided data. Nevertheless, the statistical evidence points toward a Flota Swinoujscie victory. Considering the head-to-head record and home advantage, our prediction is a narrow win for Flota Swinoujscie, but bettors should be aware of the risk given their poor recent form. This Flota Swinoujscie vs Victoria Wrzesnia prediction is based solely on the available statistics.